Will Djoker advance to the semifinals again?

Novak Djokovic is still driven to win his 25th Grand Slam title in his career, which is quite remarkable for a competitive athlete of his age. After four wins, he is now only three wins away from achieving this at the Wimbledon Championships. However, the level is now rising dramatically. Nevertheless, the trend for Flavio Cobolli against Novak Djokovic is that Djoker will successfully overcome this hurdle.

The young Italian is breaking new ground. The rising star from Florence is in the quarterfinals of a Grand Slam tournament for the first time in his career. Before this year’s Wimbledon, he had never made it past the third round at a major tournament. In the round of 16 against Marin Cilic, who eliminated Jack Draper, the great British hope and number four seed, he still managed to impress. Flavio Cobolli’s prediction that the Italian will take one or two more games off Djoker than in their first meeting is therefore very reasonable.

In the only duel between the two athletes so far, in Shanghai in the fall of 2024, it was a demonstration of power. The Serbian superstar rolled over his opponent by all the rules of the art, winning 2-0 (6-1 and 6-2). However, a lot has happened since then, and Flavio Cobolli has undoubtedly taken a big step forward in his development. With four matches over three sets already under his belt, the 15-year-younger player should also have the physical advantage, which is why we expect this match to be much closer this time around.

Flavio Cobolli – Statistics & current form

23-year-old Italian Flavio Cobolli has not been on the ATP Tour for very long, but is currently on the verge of establishing himself at the top of the ATP world rankings. This is thanks to a sustained breakthrough in the 2025 season. The man from Florence won his first ever singles title on the tour in Bucharest in April and followed that up with his second title just one month later in Hamburg.

Now the current world number 24 is in the quarterfinals of a Grand Slam tournament for the first time in his career, which means more points for his ranking. He has already climbed to 19th in the virtual world rankings, which would be a new career high. If Flavio Cobolli beats Novak Djokovic, he would jump to 14th place.

Flavio Cobolli has only dropped one set

The 23-year-old recorded three clean 3-0 victories in the first three rounds, including a clear defeat of Jakub Mensik, the number 15 seed (6-2, 6-4, 6-2). It was only in the round of 16 that Flavio Cobolli lost his first and only set of the tournament so far. It should be noted, however, that he was already leading 2-0 in sets at that point and only lost to Croatian Marin Cilic in a tiebreak before winning the fourth set in a tiebreak himself.

Particularly impressive: the Italian lost only one service game in this round of 16, winning 78 percent of all points on his first serve. The player from Tuscany will now need a similarly convincing serve against Djokovic, against whom he lost his only previous encounter very clearly 0-2 (1-6 and 2-6). Nevertheless, a lot has happened since then, clearly underlining the Italian shooting star’s highly probable advance into the top 20 of the ATP world rankings.

Novak Djokovic – Statistics & current form

38-year-old Serbian Novak Djokovic is always on the hunt for new records. In the third round of the Wimbledon Championships, he recorded his 100th singles victory on the hallowed turf of the All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club, where he has already lifted the trophy seven times. In fact, the Djoker has reached the final of the only Grand Slam tournament on the ATP Tour played on grass in each of his last six appearances.

If the 38-year-old clears the hurdle in the quarterfinals, he could face world number one Jannik Sinner in the semifinals and defending champion Carlos Alcaraz in the final. At least in the quarterfinals, however, Djoker is the clear favorite. At ODDSET, where new customers can get a 100% bonus up to €100 and a €10 free bet with the ODDSET bonus, the odds for Flavio Cobolli against Novak Djokovic are 1.10 for his victory.

Novak Djokovic needs to step up again on his second serve

After Nole lost the second set in a tiebreak in his opening match against Alexandre Müller, the Serb did not drop another set in the first three rounds, easily defeating Dan Evans (6-3, 6-2, 6-0) and his compatriot Miomir Kecmanovic (6-3, 6-0, 6-4). The round of 16 match against Alex de Minaur – ranked number eleven in the seedings – also looked clear-cut with a 3-1 victory (1-6, 6-4, 6-4, and 6-4). On closer inspection, however, it is noticeable that Djoker ultimately only won one more game (19) than his opponent (18).

Despite a breathtaking Wimbledon record of 101 wins from 113 singles matches, the 38-year-old is no longer completely untouchable, as evidenced by the fact that he fell significantly behind against Alex de Minaur, especially with his second serve. He won just 41 percent of points on his second serve, allowing his opponent a whopping 19 break points, 13 of which he was able to save. The match could therefore have quickly gone the other way.

Flavio Cobolli – Novak Djokovic Head-to-head record / H2H record

Head to head: 0:1

Last fall, at the indoor tournament in Shanghai, the two athletes met for the first and only time in the third round of the 2024 Shanghai Rolex Masters. Novak Djokovic didn’t give Flavio Cobolli a chance, winning 2:0 and dropping just three games in total against the Italian, 6:1 and 6:2.

Flavio Cobolli – Novak Djokovic Tip

Basically, Flavio Cobolli’s match against Novak Djokovic should see the Djoker progress to the semi-finals, having lost only twelve of his 113 singles matches on the hallowed turf of the All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club. Nevertheless, we believe that the young Italian, who is in the quarterfinals of a Grand Slam tournament for the first time ever, can challenge the Serb. The 23-year-old has only dropped one set in the tournament so far and most recently knocked Draper’s conqueror Marin Cilic out of the competition 3-1.

Despite his 3-1 victory over Alex de Minaur, Djoker ultimately won only one more game (19) than his opponent (18), losing 1-6, 6-4, 6-4, and 6-4. We therefore do not expect an overly clear victory for the favorite, which is why it makes a lot of sense to place a handicap of +7.5 games on the young Italian.

For the 23-year-old to lose by a maximum of seven games, Flavio Cobolli is available at odds of 1.77 to beat Novak Djokovic, which we are backing with four out of ten units at VBET.