Will the Central Swiss team confirm their opening victory?

FC Lucerne has completely collapsed in the Super League championship group, picking up just one point from five games. Everyone involved was understandably relieved when the winless streak was finally broken with a 3-2 away victory at Grasshoppers in the opening game of the 2025/26 season. If Lucerne can now beat FC Zurich at home, it would put the team from Lake Lucerne on track for a successful season. A defeat, on the other hand, would mean a false start for FCZ.

At the city club, where Ricardo Moniz had to pack his bags after a brief interlude following a poor performance in the relegation group, the start of the season could hardly have been more disappointing. In the competitive debut of new coach Mitchell van der Gaag, there was a 2-3 home defeat against promoted Sion, which also influences our prediction for Lucerne against FC Zurich. We see a lot of value in betting on a home win for the Central Swiss, who also won their last home game against FCZ 3-1.

It is also striking how many goals were scored by both teams on the first matchday. Both FCL and FCZ scored five goals each. Lucerne won 3-2, while Zurich was defeated 2-3. This suggests that this match at the Swissporarena could also offer plenty of action. The bet on over 2.5 goals is therefore very popular and can be placed via the handy Betano app at odds of 1.60 for Lucerne against FC Zurich.

Our main recommendation is nevertheless for a home win for Lucerne, whom we give a good 60 percent chance of winning. Considering that Interwetten, where new customers can also get a $10 free bet with no deposit required as part of the Interwetten welcome bonus, is offering odds of 2.20 for tip 1, we are clearly in the value range. After all, a probability of 46 percent is enough for a positive expected value at these odds.

Lucerne – FC Zurich Head-to-head comparison / H2H record

Head to head: 50 – 38 – 76

A total of 164 matches have already taken place between the two teams, with FC Zurich leading the head-to-head record with 76 wins, including a 3-2 victory in their last home game against FC Lucerne. However, the city club suffered a 1-3 defeat in their last away game at the Swissporarena in January this year.

Lucerne – FC Zurich Tip

Considering the five goals scored by both teams on the first matchday, we expect an intense and probably high-scoring duel. After all, there were plenty of goals in the two matches between the two opponents in the 2025 calendar year. In January, FC Lucerne recorded a 3-1 home win against their city rivals, who in turn took revenge in March with a 3-2 home win against the team from central Switzerland.

However, FC Zurich are now in danger of getting off to a bad start after their home defeat against newly promoted Sion. The team did not perform well under Moniz’s successor Mitchell van der Gaag, which is why we see clear advantages for the home side.

The fickle city club may be facing another complicated season. The much more sustainable option is therefore to bet on a home win for the team from Lake Lucerne, who ended their six-game winless streak (one draw, five defeats) with a 3-2 opening victory at Grasshoppers.

For tip 1, the betting odds for Lucerne against FC Zurich are 2.20, which we are cautiously betting on with three out of ten units at Interwetten.