Can Skhendija Tetovo upset the next favorite?
On Tuesday, August 5, 2025, FK Shkendija (Albania) and FK Qarabag (Azerbaijan) will face each other in the third round of the Champions League qualifiers. The roles seem to be relatively clear in advance, as the visiting team has a squad value of €24.95 million, while the home team’s market value is only €5.50 million. Individually, the visitors are therefore much better. This will also be one of the reasons why the Shkendija Tetovo vs. Qarabag FC odds from German bookmakers clearly favor an away win. Nevertheless, we should be somewhat cautious with this match, as the Albanians should not be underestimated.
In the second round of the Champions League qualifiers, Jeton Bekiri’s team beat FC Steaua Bucharest, which is valued at €50.18 million. That should give the underdogs some encouragement ahead of the upcoming match. In our Shkendija Tetovo vs. Qarabag FC prediction, we will now take a closer look at both teams and see if the home side can spring another surprise. First, we’ll look at the home and away records of the two clubs. However, we don’t come to a conclusive result, because while the Albanians have earned 2.14 points per game at home, the visitors have earned 2.10 points per game on the road. So, the two clubs are absolutely on par here.
However, this statistic is not entirely irrelevant to us, as the Azerbaijani representative had a much tougher schedule due to their participation in the UEFA Europa League. Three of their six away defeats came against teams such as Elfsborg, Olympiacos, and Tottenham. Overall, the away record of the visiting team is slightly better than the home record of the home team. In the first part of our analysis, we therefore tend to favor a Shkendija Tetovo vs. Qarabag FC tip for an away win. The highest odds for an away win are currently 1.72 and can be found at Bwin.
Shkendija Tetovo – Qarabag FC Head-to-head record
In the first three paragraphs of our match analysis, neither team has emerged as a clear favorite. The H2H comparison between the two teams does not change this, as the two clubs have never met before. This is primarily due to the fact that the hosts have never played in any of the three European competitions. The visitors have had a different experience in the past, as the Azerbaijanis have not only participated in the Conference League and the Europa League, but have also played in the Champions League. Experience alone will therefore have been an important factor in the distribution of the Shkendija Tetovo vs. Qarabag FC betting odds.
Shkendija Tetovo – Qarabag FC Tip
Taking all of the above into account, we have decided to go for a point for the away team in combination with under 3.5 goals in the Shkendija Tetovo vs. Qarabag FC betting tip. The visitors have a much better squad and sometimes even perform better away than at home. In addition, the Azerbaijanis were able to conserve their energy in the second leg against Shelbourne and should therefore go into this game well rested. Furthermore, the home side are not particularly dangerous in front of goal, scoring only four goals in four qualifying games (excluding extra time). The hosts will therefore only be able to create a few chances against the visitors’ strong defense.
If you want to take a bit more risk in this game, we recommend the Shkendija Tetovo vs. Qarabag FC odds for “both teams to score – no” or under 2.5 goals in the game. The teams are often a bit more cautious in the first leg, feeling each other out. In addition, both teams have conceded very few goals in their qualifying matches so far and have mostly been very compact.
