Will the German number two prevail in round one?
Alongside Alexander Zverev and Jan-Lennard Struff, Daniel Altmaier is one of only three Germans in the men’s singles at the US Open. The Kempen native, ranked 56th in the world, qualified directly for the main draw and, as Germany’s number two, now wants to make it through to the second round. However, the remarkably clear trend among the best betting providers is for Daniel Altmaier to beat Hamad Medjedovic, with the Serb, who has never won a match in the US Open men’s singles in his career, tipped to advance.
It is interesting to note that this will be the third time the two athletes have faced each other in 2025. While the Serbian won 2-1 in Marseille in February, the German eliminated his opponent 3-1 in the third round of the 2025 French Open. In both encounters, both players won at least one set, which we consider to be very realistic now as well. Our main tip is therefore for a match of a certain length, which is why we favor the tip for over 3.5 sets.
Basically, we think it is quite reasonable to give the Serb slightly better chances of winning the opening match. While Daniel Altmaier primarily achieves good results on clay and often struggles on hard courts, Hamad Medjedovic has celebrated his greatest successes on this very surface. In 2023, he won the Next Generation ATP Finals on hard court. In November 2024 in Belgrade and in February 2025 in Marseille, he reached the only two finals of his career on the ATP Tour in hard court tournaments, but was denied the title on both occasions.
Those who still don’t want to rule out a victory for the German could place a handicap of +5.5 games on the Kempen native at VBET, where new customers can get a 100% bonus up to €100 as well as a €5 free bet without deposit. For this, Daniel Altmaier is available at odds of 1.82 against Hamad Medjedovic, which also promises value.
Daniel Altmaier – Hamad Medjedovic Head-to-head comparison / H2H record
Head to head: 1:1
The two athletes have crossed paths twice so far, and the head-to-head comparison is quite meaningful, as both encounters took place in 2025. Hamad Medjedovic prevailed 2:1 against the German in the quarterfinals of the Open 13 Provence in Marseille on Valentine’s Day 2025, but Daniel Altmaier got his revenge on May 30 in the third round of the French Open with a 3:1 victory over the Serbian. Neither of the two duels was decided cleanly in two or three sets.
Daniel Altmaier – Hamad Medjedovic Tip
Basically, our prediction for Daniel Altmaier against Hamad Medjedovic is that the Serbian will advance. However, writing off the German prematurely could turn out to be a mistake. The hard court match between the two players on February 14, 2025, in Marseille was already completely on a knife edge. In the end, the Serbian won by the narrowest of margins after 35 games (!) with a score of 2:1 (7:5, 6:7, and 6:4). A similarly close match would certainly not come out of nowhere now.
In our main tip, we are therefore avoiding the question of who will advance to the next round. Instead, we are betting that this first-round match will not be decided in three sets. For over 3.5 sets, Daniel Altmaier vs. Hamad Medjedovic betting odds of 1.56 are available, which we are betting on with five units at NEO.bet.
