Will Alcaraz advance to the next round?
There could be a change at the top of the ATP world rankings after the 2025 US Open. As long as Carlos Alcaraz avoids elimination by Jannik Sinner, the Spaniard will return to the men’s tennis throne. In our Luciano Darderi vs. Carlos Alcaraz tip, the five-time Grand Slam champion has no problems yet.
In contrast to last year, the 22-year-old is playing at a completely different level at the US Open and appears to be in top form. In 2024, Alcaraz suffered an unexpected second-round defeat to Botic van de Zandschulp (0:3). In the Luciano Darderi vs. Carlos Alcaraz prediction, the 2022 US Open champion has already made it through this round this year.
The world number two’s first two performances at the 2025 US Open have been more reminiscent of Jannik Sinner’s focused performances in the early rounds of a major tournament. Alcaraz is usually known for taking his time in the early stages.
However, this is not the case at all in the last Grand Slam tournament of the year. The Spaniard has not conceded a single break, let alone a set. You can deduce what the prediction for the next round looks like from the Luciano Darderi – Carlos Alcaraz odds.
There are arguments to be made that Alcaraz is the best player on the entire tour this year. Since losing in the Wimbledon final, the 22-year-old has suffered only one more defeat and celebrated 32 victories. His victories in the previous two rounds have extended his current streak to eight consecutive matches won.
Luciano Darderi – Carlos Alcaraz Head-to-head record
For the first time in his still young career, Luciano Darderi is challenging the five-time Grand Slam champion to a direct duel. The Italian’s chances of victory are virtually non-existent. His interest in hard court tournaments has been limited to a single tournament between Wimbledon and the US Open. In Cincinnati, Darderi withdrew in the middle of the second set of his first match against Francisco Comesana.
The Italian prefers clay courts, where he has been impressive this year. In 2025, the Italian secured three titles – all on red clay. The challenger rarely makes a successful transition to hard courts. Throughout his career, Darderi has a record of 6-20 wins on hard courts.
Luciano Darderi – Carlos Alcaraz Tip
Never before has Carlos Alcaraz won a match at the US Open more convincingly than in the last round. The Spaniard won his duel with Mattia Belucci in a canter, conceding only four games in total. In the end, the world number two was 14 games ahead of his last opponent.
Alcaraz really flourished on the return, winning 58 percent of return points after his opponent’s first serve. Only Jannik Sinner (165.2) had a better return rating than Carlos Alcaraz (162.7) over the previous 52 weeks.
Over the entire season, no player on the tour has won more titles (6) or matches (56) than the 22-year-old Spaniard. Alcaraz has won his last eight matches, won the US Open in 2022 and will flourish in the role of favorite against Darderi. We expect an extremely one-sided match that Alcaraz will play with focus but without effort.

