The Elftal are unbeaten in 13 games against Poland
Last year, they faced each other at the European Championship, and now they are battling for important points in the 2026 World Cup qualifiers. The Netherlands and Poland are set to clash, and the hosts in Amsterdam are clear favorites in the predictions.
While the Netherlands won their first two qualifying games comfortably and convincingly, Poland have already played three games and lost one of them. In June, the team suffered defeat in Finland.
There was a change of coach for the Polish national team in the summer. After Michal Probierz got into a conflict with Robert Lewandowski, the latter resigned. Jan Urban has been the coach of the red and whites since July and has brought Lewandowski back, who will wear the captain’s armband on Thursday.
But even with the top striker from FC Barcelona, it will be very difficult for the visitors. The odds for the Netherlands vs. Poland match are correspondingly clear. The hosts at the Amsterdam ArenA have all the chances on their side and can draw on almost their full strength.
It’s not just the record of the last 40 years that points to a victory for the Elftal, who haven’t lost to Poland in 13 games. Several factors point to a home win, not least the home advantage. A bet on a home win can be combined with a goal bet to get good odds.
In Amsterdam, the Netherlands can be expected to dominate, which could lead to several goals. Therefore, you can bet not only on over 2.5 goals, but also on a goalscorer. Memphis Depay, who has been under contract with Corinthians São Paulo since last year, has a good chance of scoring. He has already scored three goals in the three games so far.
Netherlands – Poland Head-to-head comparison / H2H record
Unsurprisingly, the Netherlands has the upper hand in the head-to-head record, which of course does not directly translate into favorable betting odds for the Netherlands vs. Poland soccer bet. But even in the recent past, the Elftal, coached by Ronald Koeman since early 2023, has had the upper hand.
A look at last year is particularly interesting. The two teams met in the group stage of Euro 2024. The game ended in a 2-1 victory for the Netherlands, who made it to the semi-finals, while Poland’s journey was over after the group stage.
Netherlands – Poland Tip
Although there are still a few teams that are considered favorites for the 2026 World Cup ahead of the Netherlands, the Elftal must always be taken into account. In any case, in the game against Poland, as there is a lot to be said for a home win. The home advantage certainly contributes to making a victory for the Oranje more likely.
German bookmakers see the hosts as clear favorites, but they are so unanimous in their opinion that the odds for a home win are very low. It therefore makes sense to combine this with a goal bet. Over 2.5 goals are definitely possible. The Elftal has scored ten goals in its two qualifying games so far.
More than 2.5 goals are possible not only because of the hosts, but also because of the visitors. Poland has scored in each of its three qualifying games so far and is always good for a goal.
There are many players who could potentially score on Thursday. Of course, this includes Robert Lewandowski, who has only played 26 minutes in two Spanish league games so far and has only scored one goal in World Cup qualifying. Looking at the Netherlands, Memphis Depay comes to mind, who has already scored three times. You can bet on him to score at Winamax at odds of 2.10.
