Will Djokovic maintain his perfect hard court record against Alcaraz?

The effort required to reach the semifinals of the 2025 US Open has varied greatly for each player. For the Novak Djokovic vs. Carlos Alcaraz tip, we must take into account the Serbian’s longer playing time. The 100-time ATP title winner has spent nearly 13 hours on court so far in the tournament.

His Spanish opponent, on the other hand, has not dropped a single set in all five matches and, with a playing time of 9:33 hours, has saved some energy for the crucial phase. In addition, the 22-year-old’s form is a decisive factor in our Novak Djokovic vs. Carlos Alcaraz prediction.

Alcaraz has won the most matches on tour this calendar year (59) and has also added the most titles to his trophy cabinet (6). At the same time, the Spaniard has found a better balance in his choice of tournaments and has taken targeted breaks.

Fresh and rested, the world number two is in a league of his own alongside his main rival, Jannik Sinner. This is also reflected in the Novak Djokovic vs. Carlos Alcaraz betting odds, which clearly place the Serb in the role of underdog.

Betting providers in Germany have a lot of meaningful figures at their disposal to evaluate their Novak Djokovic vs. Carlos Alcaraz odds. Alcaraz has reached the final in each of his seven previous tournaments (including two Grand Slam finals).

Added to this is his phenomenal record of 35 wins from his last 36 attempts. Although Djoker has improved significantly over the course of the tournament, we expect the record Grand Slam champion to suffer a clear defeat against the Spaniard, who is in great form. Our recommendation: Choose odds of 3.00 for “Alcaraz to win (HC -2.5 sets)” at Interwetten.

Novak Djokovic – Carlos Alcaraz Head-to-head record

Nole still leads the head-to-head comparison (5:3). The Serb has even won the last two encounters. If we take the different evidence into account in our analysis, we see a 3:0 record for the 38-year-old on hard courts.

This calendar year, Djokovic has reached at least the semifinals in all four Grand Slam tournaments for the seventh time in his career. He has also tied Jimmy Connors. Together, they now lead the list of most semifinal appearances at the US Open (14).

Novak Djokovic – Carlos Alcaraz Tip

Alcaraz has won nine of his previous ten matches without losing a set and has been in tremendous form throughout the tournament so far. The Spaniard currently has 59 wins this season and is well on his way to improving his career best of 65 singles matches won in 2023.

The 22-year-old’s serve has improved significantly over the past few months, making fluctuations within matches much less frequent.

Djokovic is preparing for his 53rd Grand Slam semifinal. Tactically, the Serb will adjust perfectly and make the most of his chances of winning. However, we suspect that the 38-year-old can only prevail against Alcaraz if the latter is not having a good day.

However, there has been nothing wrong with the Spaniard’s form in this tournament. In addition, the world number two won his quarterfinal against Jiri Lehecka in less than two hours and once again saved important energy for the duel with Djoker.