Will the American get her revenge?

Defending champion Aryna Sabalenka saved a lot of energy in the last round. Her scheduled opponent Marketa Vondrousova had to withdraw from the match before the first ball was even served due to injury. Now Aryna Sabalenka faces Jessica Pegula, and Wettbasis is sending a tip across the net.

The match is a repeat of last year’s final. At that time, the world number 1 won 2-0, but the sets were closely contested. Sabalenka only won 7-5 in each set. Pegula is once again playing very strongly in the current US Open. In her five appearances so far, she has not dropped a single set!

We expect a closely contested match, and the Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jessica Pegula prediction is that this time the decision will only be made after three sets.

Aryna Sabalenka – Jessica Pegula Head-to-head record

The two have faced each other nine times, with the American winning only two of those encounters. However, she can take some encouragement from the statistics: her only two victories came on hard court, which is also the surface used at the US Open.

Looking only at these encounters, the local hero’s record is still negative at 2:4, but less so than in the overall picture. For the bookmakers, however, Aryna Sabalenka is once again the favorite against Pegula in the odds.

Aryna Sabalenka – Jessica Pegula Tip

The defending champion enters the women’s semifinals at the 2025 US Open with a physical advantage. Due to her last opponent’s withdrawal, she has played one match less than Pegula. In addition, she did not show any weakness in the previous rounds and always won in two sets.

However, the same can be said of her upcoming opponent. The American has also not lost a set in the current tournament, and from a playing perspective, we consider her to be almost on par with the Belarusian on hard court.

On top of that, the crowd at Arthur Ashe Stadium will be on the side of the American player, who also hails from the East Coast. Last year’s final showed that she can largely keep up with her upcoming opponent, and that defeat will provide her with plenty of extra motivation.

Given this situation, we are opting for the Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jessica Pegula betting odds of more than 2.5 sets.