Will Cremonese celebrate their third consecutive victory?

On Monday, Hellas Verona and Cremonese will face each other in Italy’s top flight. However, there is no clear favorite ahead of this match, as both teams are among the extended circle of relegation candidates in the current season.

For this reason, German betting providers are predicting a balanced game between Hellas Verona and Cremonese. However, a win for the home team seems slightly more realistic, as with a squad value of €93.05 million, the hosts are slightly better equipped than their guests. The USC has a market value of only €80.15 million.

Added to this, of course, is the home advantage. However, the hosts are generally unable to really benefit from this, as Paolo Zanetti’s team has only won four of its last 19 home games, remaining winless in 79% of those matches. This advantage is therefore null and void for the time being.

Furthermore, the visitors can look back on a very solid away record, winning ten of their last 20 away games – one of them against AC Milan. However, we should not overestimate this record, as 19 of the 20 games were played by the promoted team in Serie B. In Serie A, the quality of the opposing teams is of course much higher. This therefore plays only a minor role in the Hellas Verona vs. Cremonese odds.

In the first two paragraphs of our analysis, the home team stands out from the visiting team solely on the basis of their slightly better individual quality. However, that’s not all, because with only one point from their first two league games, the hosts have not had a particularly good start to the season.

The visitors have fared much better, with two wins from their first two games. The momentum is therefore more on the side of the supposed underdogs. The Hellas Verona vs. Cremonese prediction of an away win is therefore coming into focus and becoming a realistic option.

Hellas Verona – Cremonese Head-to-head comparison / H2H record

We are still somewhat in the dark, as we have not yet been able to identify a clear favorite. The H2H comparison does not change this, as the two teams last met in the 2022/2023 season. In addition, ten of the 24 matches ended in a draw.

So it’s completely understandable to us why the Hellas Verona vs. Cremonese betting odds from the bookies are so close together. We would therefore tend to advise against a win bet, unless you want to take a significantly higher risk in this match. Since less than 2.5 goals were scored in six of the last seven encounters, a goal bet seems to be the slightly better choice.

Hellas Verona – Cremonese Tip

For this reason, we have also decided to bet on under 2.5 goals. This is primarily due to the hosts, who have only scored one goal in their first two games and remained fairly harmless for long stretches of the 180 minutes. In addition, the point gained against Udinese was more fortunate than deserved. Furthermore, both teams had major problems in the Italian Cup and each struggled to reach extra time. In terms of play, neither team has been convincing so far. In addition, the H2H comparison also suggests a game without many scoring chances.

Alternatively, you could also add the odds for the visitors to win a point to your betting slip. The newly promoted team may be slightly weaker individually, but they have had a much better start to the season and even managed to win away against AC Milan. The momentum is therefore clearly on the side of the visiting team. A point against Paolo Zanetti’s struggling team is therefore not unrealistic.