Will Milan get three points on the road in their opener?
Finally, things are really heating up again on the international stage. With the qualifying rounds now complete, the Champions League group stage kicks off this week, and we can look forward to some exciting matches! We take a look at the clash between Ajax Amsterdam and Inter Milan, where the tip on the hosts is rewarded with attractive odds of up to 4.00. Barcelona, Liverpool, and Paris Saint-Germain are currently the closest favorites to win the tournament. The French won the title last season.
The 36-time Dutch champions have made a good start to the new season and are currently nestled in the top group. Last season, the White and Reds finished second, just one point behind PSV, and qualified for the top flight of international soccer. Now it’s all about getting off to a good start in the league. However, bookmakers’ predictions see Ajax Amsterdam as the underdogs against Inter Milan.
The Italians are likely to be less satisfied with their start. The black and blues have only managed one win from their first three games. As a result, the Biscione are currently languishing in a disappointing eleventh place in the table, already six points behind leaders Napoli. But betting provider Betano is optimistic about the Champions League and is offering odds of 1.88 for bets on the visitors in the Ajax Amsterdam vs. Inter Milan match.
Ajax Amsterdam vs. Inter Milan Prediction AI
Our AI BETSiE sees the best chances for an away win for the Nerazzurri. It estimates the probability of a win for the Italians at 54.9%, which corresponds to odds of 1.82. However, the bookmaker Winamax is offering us top odds of 2.20 for a bet on the visitors. This corresponds to a 45.45% probability of victory. According to our AI, there is clear value in a bet on the Black and Blues.
Ajax Amsterdam – Statistics & current form
After five match days, the team of new head coach John Heitinga is in third place, one point behind Feyenoord Rotterdam. The hosts are still undefeated this season, winning three of their five games. At this early stage of the season, the field is of course still quite close, but Ajax Amsterdam are in good form at the moment and we already see the White and Reds as contenders for the national title.
The hosts are now unbeaten in seven competitive games across two seasons. The White and Reds emerged victorious in four of these encounters. In front of their own fans, they have even won their last four games in a row, conceding only one goal in those matches. Their home strength leads us to believe that the hosts have a real chance of at least a partial success.
Ajax Amsterdam with strong defense
The defense has been very solid so far, conceding only four goals. This is the second-best record in the Eredivisie. Only the league leaders from Rotterdam are doing better in this statistic, with just one goal conceded. The attack has also been impressive, scoring an average of two goals per game. This corresponds to an xG value of 2.00 achieved so far. Wout Weghorst is the team’s top scorer with three goals.
Amsterdam’s journey ended in the round of 16
As one of the top Dutch teams, the Godenzonen have been regulars on the international stage for decades. Last season, Ajax Amsterdam competed in the Europa League. With four wins and three defeats, they finished the league phase in twelfth place, securing a place in the playoffs for the round of 16. Here, they eliminated Belgian representatives Royale Union Saint-Gilloise before being knocked out in the round of 16 by two defeats against Eintracht Frankfurt.
A repeat of the 1995 Champions League title is highly unlikely, but in the opening game between Ajax Amsterdam and Inter Milan, we are tempted to bet on the Dutch team at odds of 4.00 for bets on the home side.
Inter Milan – Statistics & current form
A glance at the table will not please Nerazzurri fans. Only eleventh place with three points to their name is obviously not what the Beneamata are aiming for, and they now need to prevent themselves from falling behind the leading group at the national level at an early stage.
The streak of two consecutive defeats must be ended as quickly as possible. Ideally, this should happen with a victory in their Champions League opener. In the match between Ajax Amsterdam and Inter Milan, the best sports betting providers are predicting an away win with odds of 2.20. However, the defense will have to perform better than it has recently if the team is to come away with three points.
Inter Milan lost their last two games
The Italians had a difficult start to the season. After a convincing 5-0 win over FC Turin, the Black and Blues had to concede defeat twice. A 1-2 home defeat against Udinese was followed last weekend by a spectacular 3-4 defeat at the Old Lady Juve. An astonishing result given the expected goals values of 0.68 for Juventus and 0.96 for Inter Milan. With 18:12 shots on goal in favor of the visitors, it’s clear that there was certainly more to be had for the Beneamata.
Milan with defensive problems
With six goals conceded, the Black and Blues currently have the weakest defense in Serie A; this should be taken into account when making a potential Ajax Amsterdam vs. Inter Milan prediction. This is surprising, as new head coach Cristian Chivu’s team had one of the most secure defenses in the Italian league last year. On the other hand, the offense is performing well. No other team has scored more goals than Milan, and Marcus Thuram leads Italy’s scoring charts. He has already found the back of the net nine times.
Fifteen years ago, the team celebrated its last title with a Champions League victory on the international stage, and last season the visitors came close to repeating that success. They made it to the final after finishing fourth in the league phase, ahead of Rotterdam, Bayern Munich, and Barcelona. However, PSG proved too strong in the final.
Ajax Amsterdam – Inter Milan Head-to-head record
The two clubs have met five times on the international stage so far. The Dutch have won this duel once, but have come away empty-handed three times. Since the last duels date back to 2006, we don’t want to place too much emphasis on these facts. In three of the five games, fewer than 2.5 goals were scored. The last encounter at the Johann Cruijff Arena ended in a 2-2 draw.
Ajax Amsterdam – Inter Milan Tip
The league stages of the European competitions are finally starting, and we are expecting exciting duels once again. There are already some big games on the schedule for the first matchday. Ajax Amsterdam has made a strong start to the league and wants to prove its form in the Champions League as well.
The Italians, on the other hand, still have some issues to work out. The defense in particular showed some weaknesses against Juve, conceding four goals. They will be looking to avoid a false start like in Serie A on Thursday.
The two recent defeats are likely to cause some uncertainty on the part of the visitors. The Dutch, on the other hand, are in good form and have been particularly impressive in front of their own fans. That’s why we’re leaning towards an underdog bet in this match. In the game between Ajax Amsterdam and Inter Milan, the popular bookmaker Betano is offering odds of 1.95 on the double chance 1/X.
Like the bookmakers, we are confident that there will be plenty of goals to cheer about. Both teams have a lot of quality in attack. That’s why betting on at least three goals is a good alternative between Ajax Amsterdam and Inter Milan, with odds of 1.73 in the Bet365 mobile app.
