Will defense remain the weak point for both teams?
Crisis duel at the Voith Arena! Without a single point to their name, 1. FC Heidenheim are already under pressure early in the season ahead of the fifth matchday in the Bundesliga. They will be looking to pick up their first points against FC Augsburg, who have lost all of their last three games in the German top flight. Nevertheless, the odds for a Heidenheim vs. Augsburg tip are slightly in favor of the visitors from Augsburg.
We expect the game to be just as evenly matched as the bookies’ odds in our Heidenheim vs. Augsburg prediction. However, since the visitors from Bavaria have come out on top three times in the four Bundesliga duels so far, we think Wagner’s team is the favorite – regardless of their recent results. Heidenheim and Augsburg also have the two weakest defenses in the Bundesliga.
In contrast to the Brenzstadt team, Sandro Wagner’s team has been more convincing in attack than Schmidt’s team so far. Nevertheless, we believe 1. FC Heidenheim can score against the visitors’ shaky defense in the upcoming home game. However, the team from the Swabian Ostalb is also unlikely to keep a clean sheet.
Heidenheim vs. Augsburg AI prediction
AI lady BETSiE estimates the hosts’ chances of winning this Saturday to be slightly better than the bookies in her Heidenheim vs. Augsburg AI prediction. Nevertheless, in our opinion, the value associated with betting on a home win is too marginal in relation to the risk.
Just like us, the Heidenheim vs. Augsburg AI prediction also predicts goals on both sides in the upcoming match. While Heidenheim has an xG value of 1.38, the visitors’ xG value is slightly lower at 1.29.
Heidenheim – Statistics & current form
A poor start to the season! For the first time since joining professional football, Heidenheim started the season with four defeats. The goal difference of 2:9 also clearly shows where Schmidt’s team’s weaknesses lie this season. They lack a striker up front and concede an average of more than two goals per game at the back. It’s clear that the Heidenheim vs. Augsburg odds in the Bet365 Android app are not in favor of the team from East Württemberg.
Will Heidenheim remain without any points?
Nevertheless, the odds for a Heidenheim vs. Augsburg tip also show that the Bavarian Swabians are traveling to Schlossberg as an equal opponent, against whom points are urgently needed if the Brenzstadt team does not want to miss out on the 1st Bundesliga early in the season. However, as it is unlikely that they will keep a clean sheet against Augsburg, they will need to score goals this coming Saturday.
And this is precisely where the Swabians’ big problem lies. Heidenheim’s top striker from last season, Marvin Pieringer, is likely to remain sidelined against Augsburg. Bubu Zivzivadze is still suspended. And, as is well known, playmaker Leo Scienza, the most dangerous midfielder, was transferred to England shortly before the end of the transfer window.
That’s why Heidenheim only managed one goal in injury time against HSV last weekend, despite an xG value of over two. At least Adam Kölle celebrated his goal debut in the German top flight in injury time. So, in terms of finishing, the Swabians’ play has generally been good. Against Augsburg’s vulnerable defense, we therefore believe 1. FC Heidenheim is also capable of scoring a goal – despite offensive personnel problems. Frank Schmidt’s team must play for a win this Saturday, as a point would be almost too little in the relegation battle.
Augsburg – Statistics & current form
When he arrived in the summer, Sandro Wagner was celebrated like a messiah in Augsburg. With the former assistant to national coach Julian Nagelsmann, the team hoped to finally shake off its image as a gray mouse and establish itself in the upper mid-table of the Bundesliga.
And things went well at the beginning. After a must-win victory in the cup in Halle, Augsburg celebrated a surprise away win at Freiburg, who are strong at home. However, it then became apparent that the team had not yet fully internalized Sandro Wagner’s style. Mainly due to defensive problems, there have been three consecutive defeats in the top flight recently.
Has Wagner already lost his magic?
In contrast to his predecessor Jess Thorup, who opted for a more defensive approach, Sandro Wagner is expected to introduce a more offensive and courageous style of play to the Bavarian Swabians. He has integrated high pressing into the FCA’s style of play as a central component. And the quick transition after winning the ball in order to launch their own attacks has also worked reasonably well.
Seven goals after four matchdays, or almost two on average, are certainly what those in charge had in mind for the new FCA. However, high pressing also carries risks if the defense doesn’t work, as has been the case with FCA so far. Wagner’s team has already conceded ten goals. Only Hoffenheim and Bremen have also conceded ten goals after four matchdays.
Will Wagner be able to get the problem under control by Saturday? In any case, we are skeptical in our Heidenheim vs. Augsburg prediction and believe that the offensively weak hosts are also capable of scoring against FCA. In three of the four Bundesliga matches against Heidenheim so far, Augsburg has already conceded one or more goals. With a free bet without deposit, the risk for this tip can also be minimized.
Heidenheim – Augsburg Head-to-head record
The two teams have faced each other four times so far, always in the Bundesliga. Augsburg has not proven to be the favorite opponent of the team from East Württemberg. Three of the four matches went to the Bavarian Swabians, with Heidenheim winning only once. This sole victory over the Fuggerstadt team came in a home game last season.
Schmidt’s team won 4-0, celebrating the highest victory in Bundesliga history. However, the Heidenheim vs. Augsburg betting odds show that the bookies tend not to believe in another home win for the Swabians.
Heidenheim – Augsburg Tip
Two battered boxers will be staggering around the ring at the Voith Arena this Saturday. This makes it difficult to predict the outcome of Heidenheim vs. Augsburg on the three-way market. One thing is clear: both teams have to go for it, as one point would not be enough for either Heidenheim or Augsburg. That’s why we expect both teams, who have their backs against the wall, to play offensively.
Last season, Heidenheim won their home game against Augsburg 4-0, while the year before, Augsburg celebrated an equally clear 5-2 victory at the Voith Arena. And this time around, two weak defenses could once again lead to a few goals at the Brenz in our Heidenheim vs. Augsburg prediction.
In their last eleven home games, Heidenheim has celebrated only one home win and lost nine times. Nevertheless, the bookmakers do not clearly favor FCA, which is also in crisis. Since the start of last season, Augsburg has only celebrated six away wins and is not considered a strong away team. It would not surprise us if the clash between two teams still searching for form ended in a draw with goals at both ends for the first time in this fixture.
