Does Zverev need to leave his comfort zone?
Several factors give our Corentin Moutet vs. Alexander Zverev tip an exciting flair. After three consecutive defeats, the Hamburg native finally won a match again, defeating Lorenzo Sonego (2:0) in the opening round of the China Open. The world number three is the favorite going into the match against Moutet.
The Frenchman is likely to be aware of this situation ahead of the Corentin Moutet vs. Alexander Zverev prediction. In the 2025 calendar year, the 26-year-old has already shone several times as the underdog and worked his way up to 37th place in the ATP world rankings – the best position of his career so far.
Accordingly, we recommend reconsidering the clear starting position from the Corentin Moutet vs. Alexander Zverev betting odds. Since the beginning of the year, the challenger from Paris has won two victories and suffered only three defeats against top 10 players – the only certainty in matches involving the left-hander is currently uncertainty.
When selecting the Corentin Moutet vs. Alexander Zverev odds, it is nevertheless advisable to use a no deposit free bet if possible to minimize the risk. In any case, Moutet is benefiting from good form, which he recently underlined by reaching the semifinals in Hangzhou (ATP-250).
Hard courts seem to suit the 26-year-old anyway. At the end of July, Moutet defeated Alexandre Muller (2-0), Daniel Evans (2-0), and Daniil Medvedev (2-1) to advance to the semifinals in Washington, where he was defeated by Alex de Minaur (0-2). We expect strong resistance from the left-hander and reflect this in our betting recommendation.
Corentin Moutet – Alexander Zverev Head-to-head record
The round of 16 at the China Open will see the second meeting of the year between Moutet and Zverev. The two opponents already faced each other on grass in Stuttgart. At that time, the German won the match 2:0, but had to fight through a tiebreak in the second set.
Zverev’s status as favorite is reinforced by his good record against left-handers. The 28-year-old has won 80.4 percent of his matches against left-handers (78-19) and has also celebrated the majority of his victories against players with this characteristic in the last 52 weeks (84.6 percent; 11-3).
Corentin Moutet – Alexander Zverev Tip
Zverev is in the final stages of a difficult season with several setbacks. He ended the 2025 US Open with a defeat to Felix Auger-Aliassime in the third round (1:3). In addition, the 2021 Olympic champion recently lost both matches at the Laver Cup without winning a single set (0:2 against Alex de Minaur and Taylor Fritz respectively).
Nevertheless, our Corentin Moutet vs. Alexander Zverev tip does not directly contradict the 28-year-old’s chances of advancing, but merely underscores the difficulty of this challenge.
The Frenchman has defeated two top 10 players this calendar year, has a positive hard court record (11-8) and has achieved the best ranking of his career in the ATP world rankings. In addition, he has reached two semi-finals and one final, highlighting his form this year.
We expect a balanced match at the start, with the 26-year-old often changing the rhythm, incorporating slices and stops, and trying to keep Zverev on the move. This could earn him a set. Everything else will be determined by the course of the match.

