Will the Viola carry their Conference League momentum forward?
In Serie A, both teams could hardly have had a more different start. The Giallorossi picked up twelve out of a possible 15 points at the start of the season and are now tied with AC Milan and Napoli at the top of the table. Fiorentina, on the other hand, are completely winless after five matchdays (three draws, two defeats) and have scored just three goals. And yet, that doesn’t make a tip for an away win for the capital club in Fiorentina vs. AS Roma a sure thing. While the Viola gained fresh confidence in the Conference League during the week, the Wolves ultimately lost 1-0 to Lille in the Europa League after missing three penalties.
Despite all the good results, it should not be forgotten that AS Roma are struggling to score goals overall. Although the Giallorossi picked up a full six points away from home in Serie A, they “only” won 1-0 in each game and have scored just five goals in five matchdays. Only their extremely solid defense, which has conceded just one goal in league play, has been able to conceal their lack of firepower. However, if the Tuscan side takes the lead, it is certainly not a foregone conclusion that the capital city team will have an answer. Since a low-scoring match seems to be inevitable in any case, we are steering clear of the three-way system and recommending a bet on a maximum of two goals being scored at the Stadio Artemio Franchi.
The statistics also show that a turnaround for ACF Fiorentina, who are still without a win, against their defensively strong guests would not come completely out of the blue. The Gigliati have not lost any of their last four Serie A home games against the Giallorossi (three wins, one draw). However, the home side cannot afford to rush into anything against the compact Wolves, which is why the first half in particular could be very tactical.
Fiorentina – AS Roma Head-to-head record
Head to head: 60 – 68 – 69
A total of 197 matches have already taken place between the two teams, and the head-to-head record is fairly even overall. With 69 wins, AS Roma is only slightly ahead. However, the Giallorossi have won only one of their last five Serie A games against Fiorentina (two draws, two defeats). The Viola have also not lost any of their last four home games against the Wolves (three wins, one draw).
Fiorentina – AS Roma Tip
In our opinion, the odds offered by the top betting providers for Fiorentina vs. AS Roma are far too heavily weighted in favor of the visitors from the Eternal City, who got off to a strong start but suffered their second defeat of 2025/26 in midweek due to their lack of offensive firepower. The final score was 0-1, with three missed penalties against Lille OSC. Prior to that, there had already been a 0-1 defeat against Torino FC in Serie A. The Giallorossi scored just five goals in the first five matchdays.
Admittedly, the Viola have only scored three goals so far, which is why the safest bet for Fiorentina vs. AS Roma seems to be that there won’t be too many goals in Tuscany. We recommend betting on a maximum of two goals being scored at the Stadio Artemio Franchi.
NEO.bet is offering odds of 1.68 for under 2.5 goals, which we are betting on with six out of ten units. Another very positive factor is that all new customers of this bookmaker can choose between two different bonuses in the current welcome offer.
