How difficult will it be for the Équipe Tricolore in Reykjavik?
There have been no surprises so far in Group D of the European World Cup qualifiers. After three of six games played, the French national team leads the group with three wins and a goal difference of 7:1.
They are already five points ahead of Ukraine. Iceland, on the other hand, is currently only third with three points out of nine. If Iceland beats France, the Équipe Tricolore’s chances of winning the World Cup would shrink even further.
However, Iceland showed in the first leg that the glory of the 2010s, when they reached the quarterfinals of Euro 2016, has not completely faded. The Vikings even took a 1-0 lead on the Seine before Kylian Mbappé equalized with a penalty shortly before halftime.
In the end, the Icelandic team lost only narrowly 1-2 to Les Bleus. In our opinion, it is therefore very interesting to apply a handicap of +2 to Iceland in our Iceland vs. France prediction, which, in addition to any surprise points won by the North-Western Europeans, also covers an away win for the Équipe Tricolore with a maximum lead of one goal.
Although Friday evening in Reykjavik was extremely turbulent, with Iceland losing 3-5 to Ukraine in a wild game, we do not expect a high-scoring match this time around. Coach Arnar Gunnlaugsson is likely to set up a much more defensive formation. The Équipe Tricolore, on the other hand, has won all of its last four international matches, but has only scored more than three goals in one of its last nine international matches.
A very reasonable alternative is therefore to bet on under 3.5 goals in the match. For this, Iceland vs. France betting odds of 1.78 are available, which we found at Winamax.
Iceland – France Head-to-head record
Head to head: 0 – 4 – 12
A total of 16 international matches have already taken place between the two nations, who even clashed in the quarterfinals of the European Championship in the summer of 2016. However, Iceland has never prevailed against the Équipe Tricolore, either at the European Championship or in any other match, and France remains undefeated against Iceland with a goal difference of 44:13. France also won the first leg 2-1 against the team from the northwestern European island nation on September 9, 2025, in Paris.
Iceland – France Tip
The Icelandic national soccer team has long since lost the fear factor it built up with its consistent participation in major tournaments and its historic victory over England in the round of 16 at EURO 2016, but it remains a difficult opponent to play, especially at home in Reykjavik. Accordingly, the betting odds for an away win for the Équipe Tricolore against Iceland offer little value, with Bwin currently offering odds of just 1.21. In the first leg, Les Bleus struggled to a narrow 2-1 comeback victory against the Icelanders in front of their home crowd in Paris.
Although the North-Western Europeans have lost six of their last eight international matches (two wins), it could well be a close match in Reykjavik. It is therefore important to find a prediction for Iceland vs. France that covers as many eventualities as possible. In our opinion, this is best achieved with a positive handicap on the home team (+2).
This tip, which we are placing via the NEO.bet app at odds of 2.30 with three out of ten units, not only covers every point won by the Icelanders, but also every French away win by just one goal.
