Will Atletico’s offense have to be patient?
After initial difficulties, Atletico Madrid has recently been picking up steam. After only one win from their first six competitive games and a temporary slip into the lower half of the table, they have recently enjoyed an important upward trend. This is reflected in three wins and a draw from their last four games. In particular, the two home wins against Real Madrid (5-2) and Eintracht Frankfurt (5-1) have left a lasting impression.
Nevertheless, they are currently only fifth in the standings, already eight points behind their city rivals in first place. In order not to lose touch too early, there is almost no alternative but for a bet on Simeone’s team to come true on Saturday evening between Atlético Madrid and Osasuna.
The chances of this happening are pretty good. Their home strength in particular is a huge asset that the players from the Spanish capital can bring to bear. In La Liga, they have picked up ten points from four games at the Metropolitano. No other club has scored more home goals than the Rojiblancos, who currently have Julian Alvarez (six goals) as their top scorer.
Antoine Griezmann, on the other hand, has often been limited to a substitute role in the first few weeks of the season. However, with a goal and an assist against Frankfurt, the experienced Frenchman underlined his value to the team. Regardless of whether the veteran starts or comes off the bench this weekend, I find an Atletico Madrid vs. Osasuna prediction on Griezmann as a goalscorer extremely promising. Bet365 offers maximum odds of 2.60 for this bet.
In any case, there are indications that this will be a test of patience for the favorites from Madrid. The visitors from Pamplona are only three points behind and have not conceded more than two goals in a single league match. Real Madrid (0-1) and Champions League participants Villarreal (1-2) also suffered narrow away defeats, but the bottom line is that the “Rojillos” are the weakest away team in the Spanish top flight.
All four away games were lost with a total score of 1-6. However, the average number of goals scored in games involving Osasuna has not even reached two so far, which supports my approach of combining the odds for a home win with under goals between Atletico Madrid and Osasuna.
Atletico Madrid – Osasuna Head-to-head record / H2H record
Atletico Madrid has a very good record against Osasuna. The Colchoneros have won 24 of the last 38 encounters. In the recent past, however, the favorites have occasionally had unexpected problems with the underdogs. Last season, Atletico even lost the return leg in Pamplona 0-2.
Looking back at the last three matches, it was actually the second defeat for the Madrid team, who also lost their penultimate home game against their weaker opponents 4-1. Caution is therefore advised on Saturday, although it should also be taken into account that Simeone’s team has won seven of the last ten encounters and even kept a clean sheet in six of them.
Atletico Madrid – Osasuna Tip
Currently fifth in the table, Atletico Madrid are still lagging behind expectations. Despite a 1-1 draw at Celta Vigo before the international break, their form had been heading in the right direction.
The two big wins against Real Madrid and Eintracht Frankfurt showed what the mattress makers from the Spanish capital are capable of – especially at home! With another home game coming up on Saturday, I am convinced that Griezmann, Alvarez, Sörloth and Co. will pick up another three points.
To push the betting odds up a little ahead of the Atletico Madrid vs. Osasuna match, I’m combining the favorite to win with a maximum of four goals in the game. This results in odds of 1.60 at NEO.bet.
Alternatively, Merkur Bets is offering 1.72 odds that the visitors from Pamplona will fail to score. The underdogs have only managed one goal away from home so far. They have lost all four away games. However, they have never conceded more than two goals.
