Will SGE solve its defensive problems?
Two immediate neighbors in the table will clash on Sunday afternoon in Breisgau when the eighth-placed team hosts the seventh-placed team. Things have been going increasingly worse for SGE recently. The Hessians have lost three of their last four competitive games, conceding a total of 16 goals in those four games. Even in their bizarre 6-4 away win in Mönchengladbach, they conceded four goals in one game. It would therefore be risky to prematurely bet on the Eagles, who are currently unbeaten in six Bundesliga matches against the Sport-Club (three wins, three draws), when Freiburg take on Frankfurt.
The Breisgauers, on the other hand, had a bit of a wobble at the start of the season, but then went unbeaten in six consecutive competitive games (three wins, three draws). A point for the Black Foresters is therefore by no means out of the question, especially as SCF have lost only five of their last 21 Bundesliga games (ten wins, six draws). Considering that Eintracht Frankfurt has conceded 16 goals and has the weakest defense in the top flight of German soccer, it is advisable to steer clear of the three-way system and instead bet on over 2.5 goals in the game for a Freiburg vs. Frankfurt prediction.
Basically, the odds for Freiburg vs. Frankfurt are balanced, which makes the three-way system interesting. However, the inconsistent results of the Hessians in particular make 1X2 bets too unpredictable for us to see any value in them. If you’re still looking for slightly higher odds, you might want to check out the betting option that more goals will be scored in the second half than in the first.
Interwetten is offering odds of 2.10 for the prediction that more goals will be scored in the second half of Freiburg vs. Frankfurt. This bet is very likely. Only Bayern (eleven) scored more goals in the second half in 2025/26 than Frankfurt and Freiburg (seven each).
Freiburg vs. Frankfurt Prediction AI
While we humans find it very difficult to predict the outcome of this match using the three-way system, the BETSiE supercomputer does not hesitate. The AI prediction for Freiburg vs. Frankfurt clearly favors an away win for the Hessians, which is priced at 2.70 in the Bet365 app. This implies a probability of exactly 37 percent. However, AI lady BETSiE puts SGE’s chance of winning at 41.3 percent, which is significantly higher and generates a correspondingly positive expected value.
Freiburg – Statistics & current form
SC Freiburg is going into this home game with confidence. Only five defeats in the last 21 Bundesliga games (ten wins, six draws) is quite a statement. Since the beginning of February, only Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, and Bayer Leverkusen have earned more points in the top flight of German soccer. The Sport-Club is unbeaten in six competitive games (three wins, three draws) – seven would be a record under Julian Schuster.
Nevertheless, betting on a home win for Freiburg against Frankfurt is fraught with risk. After all, the Sport-Club has been waiting for a win against SGE for six Bundesliga games (three draws, three defeats) and could lose three league games in a row against the Eagles for the first time since 2010.
Freiburg still vulnerable at home
Defensively, however, the team is on the up: in their last four Bundesliga games, the Breisgauers kept two clean sheets and conceded only two goals in total. Only Bayern and Dortmund conceded fewer goals during this period. Noah Atubolu saved 28 percent of the shots.
However, the whole truth is that there has not been a clean sheet at the Europa-Park-Stadion in eight Bundesliga home games. Against Frankfurt’s prolific away offense (ten goals), it will therefore be anything but easy to avoid conceding goals…
Frankfurt – Statistics & current form
For the first time in seven years, Hessen suffered three defeats in their first six Bundesliga games. Most recently, they even lost two competitive games in a row (the last time they lost three in a row was in December 2024). Particularly problematic: the defense. 16 goals conceded is the highest in the league and a negative club record after six matchdays. In addition, the Eagles conceded at least three goals in four Bundesliga games in a row – five would be a negative club record set in the fall of 1976.
Will Kaua Santos return to his old form?
Eintracht is still delivering away from home: ten Bundesliga goals on the road is the best record in the league (along with Bayern). The SGE is also productive after the break (seven goals). Individually, one reunion narrative stands out: Ritsu Doan arrived from Freiburg in the summer and has already been involved in five direct away goals (two goals, three assists) in this Bundesliga season – only Harry Kane has more.
The fact that the odds are still slightly against Hessen in Freiburg vs. Frankfurt is also due to recent defensive problems. Since returning to the SGE goal, Kaua Santos has conceded 16 goals in four competitive games, saving only 31 percent of shots in the Bundesliga so far and conceding 3.9 goals above the expected value (xGA) – the lowest figure in the league. The question of whether they can win in Breisgau will therefore also depend on whether the 22-year-old Brazilian can quickly regain his old form after his injury break.
Freiburg – Frankfurt Head-to-head record
Head to head: 15 – 12 – 20
The two teams have already played 47 competitive matches, with Eintracht Frankfurt leading the head-to-head record with 20 wins. The Hessians took all six points against SC Freiburg in the past season, remaining unbeaten in their fifth consecutive away game in Breisgau (two wins, three draws). Overall, the Eagles have not lost to the Black Forest team in six Bundesliga duels (three wins, three draws).
Freiburg – Frankfurt Tip
Although the AI considers an away win for the Eagles to be the most likely outcome of the Freiburg vs. Frankfurt match, from a human perspective, we would advise against betting on the result of the game. In fact, everything points to a high-scoring game in Breisgau – including the record. In the last four competitive games between the two teams, there have always been at least four goals. In total, there have been 22 goals in this period – an average of 5.5 goals per game.
Added to this is the defensive vulnerability of SGE, which, despite being seventh in the table, has conceded 16 goals and currently has the weakest defense in the Bundesliga. Accordingly, the tip that at least three goals will be scored at the Europa-Park-Stadion is very popular.
