Who will manage to reverse the trend?
When the “Bats” welcome Villarreal to Valencia on this tenth matchday of La Liga, it will not only be a duel between the 14th and third-placed teams in the table, but also a clash between two teams that need to get back on track. Both Valencia and the “Yellow Submarine” have gone four competitive games without a win and are in desperate need of three points.
Even though the visitors are naturally the favorites as active Champions League participants and one of the top teams in the Spanish top flight, there are a few factors that suggest a home win in Valencia vs. Villarreal.
Probably the biggest advantage Carlos Corberan’s team has in this game is the venue. The club from the autonomous region of Valencia has won seven of its nine points so far in home games. This makes them just as strong at home as the “Yellow Submarine,” which has already racked up 13 points after five games in its own stadium, making it the best home team in the league.
Conversely, however, this also means that last year’s fifth-placed team is still struggling away from home. In its four matches against Celta Vigo, Sevilla FC, Real Madrid, and Atlético Madrid, the “Yellow Submarine” has only averaged 1.0 points. In the Champions League, Marcelino Garcia’s team has also only scored points at home so far. The visitors’ poor away form means that the prediction for Valencia vs. Villarreal is a home win.
It is also striking that Carlos Corberan’s team has underperformed in terms of points in this early stage of the season, while the “Yellow Submarine” is doing better than it should be. According to the xPoints table, the two teams are separated by only two points, not eight. Statistically speaking, Valencia and Villarreal are almost neck and neck this season. As it is likely that the two teams will converge on the statistical data over the course of the year, Saturday could see the first step in that direction.
To get even higher betting odds for Valencia vs. Villarreal, you could also bet on “Both teams to score – No.” The Bats have not conceded a goal in any of their home wins this season and concede less than one goal on average at home.
Valencia – Villarreal Head-to-head record
The head-to-head record also suggests that the hosts could spring a surprise on this matchday. The “Bats” have been unbeaten at home against the “Yellow Submarine” for a remarkable eight years. During this period, there have been ten meetings at Mestalla, eight of which Valencia have won.
Valencia – Villarreal Tip
On Saturday, it will be decided at Mestalla which of the two clubs will get back on track after four consecutive games without a win. If you believe the bookmakers’ odds in the Valencia vs. Villarreal tip, it should actually be the visitors who come out on top here.
However, their own weakness away from home and the home strength of Carlos Corberan’s team could throw a spanner in the works. In addition, the head-to-head comparison clearly favors the hosts.
As an alternative to betting on the outcome of the game, goal bets can also be placed. Here, the options “Over 2.5 goals” and “Both teams to score – No” should be considered.
