Who can escape the bottom third of the table?
An evening game in Sardinia, a light breeze from the sea, floodlights over the arena – but goals? They remain in short supply in the Cagliari vs. Sassuolo tip. As neighbors in the table with an almost identical goal difference and only one point between them, a close encounter is to be expected.
The hosts are in slightly better form, having waited four games for a win in the league. In the stands, there were rows of sad faces in the last two home games – the Rossoblu lost 2-0 to both Inter and Bologna. In our Cagliari vs. Sassuolo prediction, head coach Fabio Pisacane and his team will have to be patient a little longer.
So far, both teams are among the weaker offensive teams in Serie A. Perhaps the Cagliari – Sassuolo betting odds are so even because both clubs have scored only eight goals in eight league games.
The combination of volume and quality of finishes is relatively low on both sides. The hosts had a total of only 6.84 expected goals (xG) at their disposal (18th). The visitors, led by head coach Fabio Grosso, are slightly above that (8.77 xG – 12th in the league).
When we weigh up the abilities of the defensive lines, the Neroverdi come out slightly ahead. While the home side have conceded 14.18 xGA (20th), the visitors have fared slightly better (11.72 xGA). Neither figure is outstanding, which is why we are giving our match combination a slightly larger margin with “Under 3.5 goals.”
Including the buffer, it is possible to confidently place the Betano bonus on the Cagliari vs. Sassuolo odds of 1.85 and thus the betting combination of a “Double Chance X2 & Under 3.5 Goals.”
Cagliari – Sassuolo Head-to-head comparison / H2H record
The home team has won the last three consecutive matches. The last meeting took place on matchday 37 of the 2023/2024 season, at the end of which the Neroverdi were relegated. With Fabio Grosso on the sidelines, the visitors have made an immediate comeback and the promoted team (10) currently ranks one point ahead of Cagliari (9) in the table.
Not a single player in the hosts’ squad has scored more than two goals this season. Andrea Belotti and Mattia Felici (2 goals each) are still the most dangerous weapons in Fabio Pisacane’s team. In this form, the offense has recently been unable to compensate for the mistakes of the defense.
Cagliari – Sassuolo Tip
The visitors’ defensive structure appears to be more coherent. Fabio Grosso and his team have not conceded a goal in their last two away games. In addition, the Neoverdi have kept their opponents to “under 1.5 goals” in their last four consecutive matches.
Their own chances in front of the opponent’s goal are limited. The promoted team has been waiting for a goal for two league games and has not scored more than one goal in eight of ten competitive games this season. Nevertheless, we see Grosso’s team as slight favorites.
This is closely related to the Rossoblu’s poor form. Pisacane’s team has conceded at least two goals in three of its last four league games. In addition, the home side has conceded the most expected goals in the league (14.18 xGA) and has served its opponents an average of 0.12 expected goals per shot on a silver platter.
