Who will find the spaces in the compact defensive lines?
Gian Piero Gasperini is an absolute coaching ace with strong arguments for his good work. At the end of his nine-year tenure in Bergamo, he led Atalanta to third place in the table and thus into the Champions League. Ahead of the AS Roma vs. Napoli tip, Gasperini has brought the Giallorossi back to the top of the table for the first time in eleven years.
The reigning champions from Naples are guests at the Olympic Stadium in Rome. Last weekend, the Partenopei ended a mini-slump of three competitive games without a win with a 3-1 victory over Bergamo. This was followed by a 2-0 triumph over Qarabag in the Champions League, setting the stage for an interesting AS Roma vs. Napoli prediction.
In addition, the result could have a major impact on the table. The visitors are only two points behind the leaders. Added to this are many balanced statistics in various categories.
Furthermore, we agree with the relatively low AS Roma vs. Napoli odds for “under 2.5 goals in the game.” In some cases, you will only get a 1.50 return on your stake for this bet in the sports betting apps. Not enough for a single bet, but just right as an asset in a match combination.
Napoli has played six away games in this year’s league season so far, scoring an average of only 1.17 goals per away game. The average number of goals scored by Roma in their previous six home games in Serie A is identical.
However, it is noteworthy that the Partenopei have scored the most expected goals away from home of any Serie A club (9.5 away xG), so they could pose a threat to the league’s strongest defense (6 goals conceded).
AS Roma – Napoli Head-to-head record / H2H record
Giallorossi fans have developed an aversion to SSC in recent years. Roma have won only one of their last eleven head-to-head matches, losing six and taking a point from four encounters. In addition, recent matches between Roma and Gli Azzurri have tended to be low-scoring affairs, with four of the previous six encounters ending with fewer than three goals.
AS Roma – Napoli Tip
Skillfully, albeit in different ways, both teams are forcing their opponents into a stressful build-up play this season. AS Roma (144) and Napoli (142) have forced the most pressing sequences in the Italian top flight.
While Gasperini’s protégés employ consistent attacking pressing with many man-oriented elements and high pressing (9.7 PPDA), the reigning champions are a little more selective in their phases and sequences, allowing significantly more passes per defensive action (11.9).
In the end, however, both teams defend their own penalty area quite consistently and often force their opponents to shoot from unfavorable positions. It is quite possible that this top match will be decided by a single goal.
Overall, Serie A is living up to its reputation as a defensive league this season. So far, no more than 2.33 goals have been scored per league game. When it comes to home games in particular, this figure is even lower (1.75).
