Will Spurs lose their fourth competitive game in a row?
Since the last international break, Spurs have played three competitive games and lost all of them. Expectations were low against Arsenal (1-4) and PSG (3-5), but fans had hoped for a win in the match against Fulham (1-2). Now, Newcastle vs. Tottenham threatens to be the fourth competitive game in a row without a win, possibly the fourth defeat in a row.
There are still no big gaps in the Premier League table, so the positions of the two teams in our Newcastle vs. Tottenham prediction look worse than their gap to the top teams really is. Despite fluctuating results, both clubs are only seven points behind the second-placed team.
However, the inconsistent results tempt us to play the Newcastle vs. Tottenham odds primarily with a free bet. We would tend to favor the home side. Eddie Howe and his team are buoyed by their first Premier League away win of the season (4-1 vs. Everton last weekend) and are always difficult to beat at their home ground, St. James’ Park.
Although Nick Woltemade scored his seventh competitive goal in 14 starts for the Magpies against the Toffees, Howe probably imagined his offense to be a little more potent. Nine league rivals have already scored more than the hosts’ expected 17.33 goals.
On the other hand, Howe’s charges have done an outstanding job in defense. The Magpies have the third-best expected defense in the English top flight (14.92 xGA). So far, Spurs have been extremely productive (21 goals – fourth highest) and have exceeded their expected goals more significantly than any other PL club (+8.98).
Newcastle – Tottenham Head-to-head comparison / H2H record
First, it is worth highlighting Newcastle’s outstanding record at their own stadium. In the 2025 calendar year, Howe’s protégés have played a total of 16 Premier League home games. Almost 70 percent (11/16) of these matches ended with three points for the Magpies.
In addition, the hosts can look back on extremely pleasing recent results against the Lilywhites. Newcastle have won five of their last six direct encounters in the English top flight. Eddie Howe and his team also won their previous three PL home games against the reigning Europa League winners (12-2 goals).
Newcastle – Tottenham Tip
League games between two weekends have not suited the visitors at all in recent times. Tottenham have won only one of their last 13 PL matchdays scheduled during the week. Ahead of their next attempt, the mood is at freezing point.
In addition, Tottenham have been waiting for a Premier League win for four rounds (1D, 3L). Furthermore, the visitors are now traveling to one of the strongest back teams in the British Isles, who have won their last two Premier League games in a row and defeated Manchester City (2-1).
As was the case last weekend – Howe changed his starting lineup in six positions compared to the Champions League game against Marseille – we expect some rotations on both sides to provide freshness in a demanding phase of the season.
The team around German DFB striker Nick Woltemade has looked more stable recently, having already made a strong impression throughout the season with their work against the ball.
