Will the Nerazzurri stop the Ligurians’ run?
While Atalanta Bergamo, who finished third in the 2025/26 season, are only now entering the Coppa Italia in the round of 16, Genoa CFC have already had to survive two rounds. In their home games against third-division Vicenza (3-0) and second-division Empoli (3-1), the Grifone didn’t exactly set the world alight.
Now, however, they face the Nerazzurri, who are strong at home and have reached the Coppa Italia final in three of the last seven seasons. Nevertheless, it is not out of the question that Atalanta Bergamo vs. Genoa could see the Rossoblù advance, as they have not lost any of their last four competitive games (two wins, two draws) and are coming to Lombardy on the back of a good run.
However, the record clearly favors the home side – at least the recent record. Although Genoa CFC leads with 39 wins from 107 meetings against “La Dea” overall, they have not won any of their last eleven games against the Bergamo side (four draws, seven defeats).
It is also striking that, despite their four-game unbeaten streak, the Rossoblù have only kept a clean sheet in one of their last 13 competitive games. In seven of their last eleven games, they have conceded at least two goals. Accordingly, the Atalanta Bergamo vs. Genoa prediction is that the offensively strong Lombards will score at least two goals in this Coppa Italia home game, regardless of the outcome.
After the Nerazzurri lost 3-1 away to champions Napoli in their first game under Juric’s successor Raffaele Palladino, the Lombards have recently recorded two clean sheet victories in a row against Eintracht Frankfurt in the Europa League (3-0) and ACF Fiorentina in Serie A (2-0).
As we consider a similar final result against the Grifone to be the most likely, the Asian handicap of -1.25 on Atalanta Bergamo could alternatively be played via the practical Bet365 app at odds of 2.20.
Atalanta Bergamo – Genoa Head-to-head comparison / H2H record
Head to head: 37 – 31 – 39
A total of 107 matches have already taken place between the two teams, and Genoa CFC still leads the head-to-head comparison with 39 wins, although the balance has increasingly shifted in favor of Atalanta Bergamo. The Nerazzurri are currently unbeaten in eleven meetings with the Rossoblù (seven wins, four draws) and have recently celebrated four consecutive competitive wins against the Ligurians.
Atalanta Bergamo – Genoa Tip
Basically, the forecast for Atalanta Bergamo against Genoa is that the Nerazzurri, who seem to have overcome their results crisis under Raffaele Palladino, will advance. Two clean sheet victories against Frankfurt (3-0) and Fiorentina (2-0) point to an upward trend in form, which should now also come to bear against the in-form visitors from Liguria, who for their part have not lost in four competitive games (two wins, two draws).
Nevertheless, the Grifone have not only been waiting for a win against the Nerazzurri for eleven competitive games (four draws, seven defeats), but have also won only one of six Serie A games away from home in 2025/26 (two draws, three defeats).
It is striking that not only has “La Dea” rediscovered its scoring touch, but the Ligurians are also very susceptible to conceding goals. In seven of their last eleven competitive games, the Rossoblù have conceded at least two goals, which is why, regardless of the outcome of this cup game, we are betting on the Bergamaschi scoring over 1.5 goals in regular time.
For this, Bet-at-home is offering odds of 1.65 for Atalanta Bergamo against Genoa, which we are betting on with six out of ten units.
