Will Aston Villa stay at the top?

Shortly after the turn of the year, Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest will face each other in the top English league. At first glance, the roles seem to be clearly defined, as the hosts are currently in third place and thus in one of the four Champions League spots, while the visitors are in the midst of a relegation battle. However, the Tricky Trees are still above the line, in 17th place to be precise. For Sean Dyche’s team, which even managed to qualify for the Europa League last season, this is of course a bitter setback. But perhaps it is precisely this fact that is to blame, as the double burden is not insignificant. In our Aston Villa vs. Nottingham prediction, we now want to find out whether the visiting team has a realistic chance.

First, we take a look at the home and away records of both teams and come to a clear conclusion. Unai Emery’s team is very strong at home and has picked up 22 points from nine home games in the Premier League. Even Manchester City and Arsenal failed to score at Villa Park. That alone makes the Villans the clear favorites. Added to this is the visitors’ poor away form, with only eight points from nine away games. Consequently, it is no surprise that the maximum odds for a win for the away team are 4.60. These Aston Villa vs. Nottingham odds can be found at Bet-at-home.

However, we would not recommend betting on an away win in Aston Villa vs. Nottingham. In addition to individual quality and home and away records, the current form also speaks against Sean Dyche’s team. With four defeats in their last five league games, the Tricky Trees have slipped down the table in recent weeks. The situation is different for the home side, who have won eleven of their last twelve competitive games and are arguably the form team in the league. During this period, the Villans have also celebrated unexpected victories against big teams such as Chelsea, Arsenal, and Manchester United. The hosts are therefore serious contenders in the battle for international places – even the Champions League seems to be a realistic goal at the moment.

Aston Villa – Nottingham Head-to-head record

There is a lot to suggest a home win. The head-to-head record does not change this, as the Tricky Trees have only won 39 of the 130 meetings. With two wins from the last four games, the record looks a little better in the short term, but those were also the only two wins in the last ten encounters. The visitors have rarely come away with anything at Villa Park in particular, with just one win in their last eleven games. The H2H comparison therefore clearly favors the home side. In our opinion, the Aston Villa vs. Nottingham betting odds should therefore clearly favor a home win. It would take a lot for the visiting team to come away with anything here.

Aston Villa – Nottingham Tip

Taking all of the above facts into account, we can’t ignore the Aston Villa vs. Nottingham betting tip of a home win (1.83 at Winamax). The home team is in much better form, has more quality individually, has the better coach, and is also very strong at home. What’s more, Unai Emery’s team also has the upper hand in the head-to-head comparison. At this point in our analysis, the question arises: what speaks in favor of the away team? The answer is easy to find: nothing. We believe that Sean Dyche is not the right coach for the Tricky Trees anyway, because apart from successful relegation battles, the Englishman has little to show for himself.

Alternatively, you can also add the Aston Villa vs. Nottingham odds for “both teams to score – no” to your betting slip. The reasons for this are almost obvious, as the visitors have scored only six goals in their nine away games and have failed to score in five of them. In addition, Sean Dyche’s team has scored only four goals in its last five league games – three of them in a 3-0 home win against Tottenham Hotspur. Furthermore, Unai Emery’s team has conceded only seven goals in nine home games and has therefore been very compact.

Leave a Reply