Will Augsburg escape the relegation battle?

After the winter break, Gladbach’s Foals and Augsburg’s Fuggerstädter will face each other at Borussia-Park. After a temporary high, Borussia won only one of their last five competitive games and lost three times during that period. This currently puts them in twelfth place in the table with 16 points. FCA, on the other hand, has worked through all possible results in their first three competitive games since Manuel Baum took office and is currently in 15th place with 14 points. Augsburg are considered underdogs against Gladbach.

After five consecutive unbeaten league games, resulting in four wins, Borussia Mönchengladbach have suffered two league defeats against Dortmund and Wolfsburg. They scored only one goal while conceding five. Their home record is no better at the moment – they have only won one of their eight home league games this season. After Wolfsburg, the Foals also have the worst home defense with 17 goals conceded.

Augsburg, on the other hand, has stabilized somewhat under Baum, conceding only one goal in their first three competitive games – albeit away from home. However, the Fuggerstadt club has a very good record against Gladbach, with only two defeats in their last ten competitive games, compared to six wins. They have also won their last two games at Borussia Park, which is why our Gladbach vs. Augsburg prediction is for the visitors to win or draw.

Gladbach vs. Augsburg AI prediction

According to our Gladbach vs. Augsburg AI prediction, the hosts are favorites in this game with a probability of winning just under 50%. Furthermore, our AI generally agrees with the Gladbach vs. Augsburg betting odds offered by the bookmakers, so there is no one tip that promises clear value. The greatest consensus is on the tip that there will be under 2.5 goals – with around 52%. This tip is rated at 2.00 by Interwetten.

Gladbach – Statistics & current form

Borussia Mönchengladbach is going through a difficult phase and is having one of its weakest Bundesliga seasons in recent years. With 16 points after 15 games, the Foals are in their worst position since the 2016/17 season. The latest results further underscore the negative trend: after two consecutive defeats, Gladbach is facing a series of three Bundesliga losses in a row for the first time this season.

Gladbach too harmless

The home record is particularly problematic. Only one of the last eleven Bundesliga home games has been won, at the beginning of November with a 3-1 victory over 1. FC Köln. In the 2025 calendar year, Gladbach has already suffered nine home defeats, a new club record within a year; only FC Heidenheim lost more often in front of their own fans during this period. This naturally supports our Gladbach vs. Augsburg prediction of a double chance for the visitors.

The offense also lacks consistency and punch. Borussia has already failed to score seven times this Bundesliga season, a figure that only FC St. Pauli has matched and only FSV Mainz has surpassed. The last time Gladbach had such a high number of scoreless games after 15 matchdays was in the 2006/07 relegation season. The quality of chances also reflects the offensive problems: with only 26 big chances, the Foals are among the weakest teams in the league in this category. As a result, we are offering Gladbach vs. Augsburg odds of 1.90 for under 1.5 goals for the Foals via the practical Betano app.

Augsburg – Statistics & current form

FC Augsburg is also looking back on a disappointing season so far, although recent developments give cause for hope, at least defensively. With 14 points after 15 matchdays, FCA is having its weakest Bundesliga season since 2018/19. The team has struggled particularly away from home, winning just one of its last nine Bundesliga away games – a 3-1 victory at SC Freiburg on the first matchday of this season – with one draw and seven defeats.

Historically, the start of the season after the winter break has also been unfavorable for Augsburg, which has lost its last four games after the break, as many as in the previous ten years combined. If you want to bet on the hosts in the Gladbach vs. Augsburg match, the top bookmakers are offering odds of around 1.90.

Defense strengthened under Baum

However, under new coach Manuel Baum, there has been a clear stabilization in defense. In the three Bundesliga games since he took office, FCA has conceded only one goal, the best record in the league during this period alongside Borussia Dortmund. Two of these three games even ended without conceding a goal, twice as many clean sheets as in the first twelve matchdays combined. In addition, Augsburg allowed only six shots on goal in these games, a figure surpassed only by FC Bayern Munich.

Offensively, however, the yield remains modest: with 23 clear-cut chances, FCA is one of the least dangerous teams in the league. To make matters worse, Dimitrios Giannoulis is suspended after picking up a yellow card. The Greek was directly involved in Augsburg’s last three goals, and all three games this season without him in the starting lineup have been lost. We are therefore also betting on under 2.5 goals, as the defense seems stable and the offense remains modest.

Gladbach – Augsburg Head-to-head record

The head-to-head comparison between Borussia Mönchengladbach and FC Augsburg is slightly in favor of the Fuggerstadt team. In 30 competitive games, 28 of which were in the Bundesliga and two in the 2nd Bundesliga, Gladbach celebrated ten victories, while Augsburg won eleven games; nine encounters ended in a draw. Borussia has a slight edge in goal difference: Gladbach has scored 48 goals, Augsburg 44.

Gladbach – Augsburg Tip

Gladbach may be the favorites according to the odds, but not according to us. The Foals have lost their last two home games against Augsburg and have only managed two wins in their last ten direct encounters. In addition, they have won only one of their last eleven Bundesliga home games and have failed to score in seven games this season.

Augsburg, on the other hand, also had a weak start to the year, losing their last four opening games in a row, but under Baum they have recently stabilized their defense and conceded only one goal in three league games. However, they have also only managed one win in their last nine Bundesliga away games, which is why we are relying on the head-to-head comparison.