Will Eintracht also fall victim to VfB?
The Bundesliga has awakened from its winter slumber. And how! Thirty-five goals were scored on the first matchday of the 2026 calendar year, even though two of the nine matches fell victim to the snow and ice chaos in Germany. VfB Stuttgart and Eintracht Frankfurt also played a major role in the five goals scored per match on average.
While the Swabians put in a powerful performance away in Leverkusen, winning 4-1, SGE had to settle for a 3-3 draw at home against BVB after taking a late lead. Based on my impressions, among other things, my VfB Stuttgart vs. Frankfurt prediction now leans more towards Hoeneß’s team, who are clearly in good form.
It will also be interesting to see whether the early Tuesday evening kickoff at 6:30 p.m. will once again be extremely spectacular. A potential VfB Stuttgart vs. Frankfurt prediction of a high-scoring game is supported by the fact that 39 goals have already been scored in eight Bundesliga away games for the Hessians this season. That also corresponds to an average of almost five goals per game.
However, this is offset by a goal difference of 9:8 after seven home games for the reigning cup winners, which does not necessarily point to an offensive festival during the week. I also believe that four goals in 90 minutes should be the maximum.
VfB Stuttgart vs. Frankfurt Prediction AI
Artificial intelligence also expects a relatively high-scoring match. Adding up the xG values of both teams gives a value of 3.03, which on this 17th matchday is only surpassed by Gladbach’s matches in Sinsheim and Cologne against Bayern.
There is a 48% probability of a VfB victory, compared to 52% for a point win for Hessen. Value can therefore be found in the VfB Stuttgart vs. Frankfurt AI prediction for the double chance X2 at odds of 2.00 at Interwetten!
VfB Stuttgart – Statistics & current form
During the winter break, VfB Stuttgart officials were confronted with a generous offer for Jamie Leweling. Premier League club Burnley is said to have offered up to €40 million to lure the German international to the island. Fabian Wohlgemuth and the rest of the management team rejected the offer and will have felt completely vindicated in their decision on Saturday evening.
Leweling was the match winner with a brace in the 4-1 away win in Leverkusen and formed a congenial duo in attack with Deniz Undav (one goal, two assists). In general, the Swabians looked very enthusiastic and confident. The score was already 4-0 at half-time for the southern Germans, who moved up to fifth place in the standings and, level on points with RB Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen, have their sights firmly set on the Champions League places.
VfB Stuttgart can be described as strong at home
In addition to their recent performance at the weekend, their solid home record also suggests that the 2025 DFB Cup winner prediction will come true on Tuesday evening in the match between VfB Stuttgart and Frankfurt. VfB has won five of its seven home games in the German top flight so far. Across all competitions, including the DFB Cup and Europa League, Stuttgart has even won nine of its last eleven matches.
Another positive factor is that keeper Nübel has only conceded eight goals at home in the Bundesliga. This puts him in the top five, which must also be put into perspective, as five of those eight goals were conceded at home against FC Bayern. In my opinion, it is therefore quite possible that the betting odds on a handicap win for the hosts will pay off between VfB Stuttgart and Frankfurt.
Frankfurt – Statistics & current form
Younes Ebnoutalib has caused a frenzy of excitement at Eintracht Frankfurt.
The 22-year-old striker, who moved from SV Elversberg to the Main metropolis in the winter for around €8 million, was still playing for FC Gießen in the Regionalliga Südwest exactly one year ago, before Nils-Ole Book, sporting director of the Saarland club, brought him to the 2. Bundesliga for a bargain price of €15,000. There, the German-Moroccan impressed with twelve goals in the first half of the season.
Eintracht, in the person of Markus Krösche, struck now, and the Frankfurt native immediately repaid the trust placed in him on his debut. Ebnoutalib scored to make it 2-2 and, like the second new signing Arnaud Kalimuendo, who came on as a substitute, was a real asset on the pitch.
Frankfurt’s defense remains the number one concern
Despite all the justified praise for the revitalized SGE offense, the defense remains the biggest point of criticism. The three goals conceded against Borussia Dortmund brought the total number of goals conceded to 33! By comparison, only 1. FC Heidenheim, who are threatened with relegation, have a more vulnerable defense than the Champions League participants from Germany’s financial capital.
Another cause for concern is that 21 of the 33 goals conceded were in away games. No other Bundesliga team has conceded more goals away from home than Eintracht, who have yet to keep a clean sheet in an opponent’s stadium this season. This fact also supports my assumption that the seventh-placed team will leave the pitch as losers on Tuesday evening.
VfB Stuttgart – Frankfurt Head-to-head record
Last season, Eintracht Frankfurt proved to be kryptonite for VfB Stuttgart. The Hessians won both the home and away games by a narrow margin of one goal. In the previous season, however, the picture was completely different, with Stuttgart winning both games.
Overall, Eintracht has the upper hand in the head-to-head record with five wins, one draw, and two defeats from the last eight encounters. Eintracht has also scored at least three goals in four of its last five away games in Bad Cannstatt. However, I don’t think this streak will continue on Tuesday evening!
VfB Stuttgart – Frankfurt Tip
In terms of the table, the match between VfB Stuttgart and Eintracht Frankfurt is the top game of the 17th matchday in the Bundesliga. VfB Stuttgart is currently in fifth place and has its sights set on the top four, as does its opponent from the Main, which is in seventh place in the standings. Just three points separate the teams. First impressions after the winter break are also positive. Eintracht Frankfurt came close to victory against Borussia Dortmund (3-3), while Stuttgart played their best half of the season in Leverkusen, winning 4-1.
Nevertheless, I see VfB Stuttgart coming out on top in this direct encounter, mainly due to the visitors’ continued vulnerability in defense. No team has conceded more goals away from home than Toppmöller’s side. Stuttgart, meanwhile, have won nine of their last ten competitive games in front of their home crowd and are brimming with confidence. I therefore recommend betting on a home win between VfB Stuttgart and Frankfurt.
