How will the Wolves recover from their 1-8 defeat?

Two different emotional worlds will collide on Wednesday evening at the Volkswagen Arena. VfL Wolfsburg suffered an 8-1 defeat in Munich at the weekend, while St. Pauli were unable to play at home against Leipzig due to weather conditions.

This means that Hamburg remain in 16th place in the table for the time being, but are now level on points with Heidenheim in 17th place. Wolfsburg, on the other hand, are currently in 14th place with 15 points, three points ahead of their guests from the north.

After their bitter trip to the Allianz Arena at the weekend, the Wolves now have the joint worst defense in the league with 36 goals conceded – only Heidenheim has conceded as many.

Wolfsburg conceded twelve goals in their last two league games alone – as many as in their previous seven competitive games combined.

St. Pauli, on the other hand, are in stable form and remained unbeaten in their last three league games before Christmas – as many as in the first twelve Bundesliga matchdays combined, with the first series running from matchdays 1 to 3. If they now suffer nine league defeats in a row, things could get very tight for the Kiezkickers. However, the head-to-head record against Wolfsburg suggests otherwise – in six Bundesliga encounters, there have been five draws and one win for St. Pauli.

EnglandWolfsburg vs. St. Pauli Prediction AI

According to our Wolfsburg vs. St. Pauli AI prediction, the hosts are the favorites in this game with a probability of winning of over 50%. This is where the greatest value lies – while the bookmaker Interwetten puts the probability of a Wolfsburg home win at around 52.5%, our AI even predicts a 58% probability of a home win!

Wolfsburg – Statistics & current form

After a slight upward trend, VfL Wolfsburg has now suffered two defeats in a row. The afternoon in Munich was particularly bitter, of course, after the Wolves had put in a very respectable performance in the first half and went into the break trailing 1-2. In the second half, however, Bauer’s team completely fell apart and ultimately lost 8-1.

However, we do not expect another defeat in the match against the Kiezkickers from Hamburg, as there have been a total of six draws in eight competitive matches between the two teams in Wolfsburg. This statistic is complemented by a VfL victory in 1994 and a defeat in 1975. The home win in 1994 is the Wolves’ only victory in 17 matches against St. Pauli to date. Our Wolfsburg vs. St. Pauli prediction supports this trend, so we are betting on another draw.

Goal guarantee in Wolfsburg

But now things should improve again at home, where VfL broke their winless streak with a 3-0 victory over Union Berlin at the beginning of December – although this was followed by another 3-4 defeat to SC Freiburg. What is particularly striking in front of their home crowd is the frequency of goals – in the Wolves’ last four home games, a total of 20 goals were scored, with both teams always finding the net.

Against this backdrop, it is very interesting to bet on both teams scoring in Wolfsburg vs. St. Pauli at odds of 1.70, which we found in the user-friendly Betano app.

St. Pauli – Statistics & current form

FC St. Pauli, on the other hand, comes into this game against the Wolves fully rested after a longer winter break. The Hamburg team had no game at the weekend due to the current weather conditions, where they would have faced RB Leipzig. Whether this is an advantage or a disadvantage remains to be seen.

Before the winter break, however, St. Pauli showed stable form and has been unbeaten in four competitive games and three league games. These included two draws against Mainz and Cologne, as well as a 2-1 win against direct rivals Heidenheim. If they continue this trend, another draw cannot be ruled out.

St. Pauli’s away form could prove to be their downfall

However, the Hamburg team has extreme problems performing well away from home – their only league win in eight away games came in their own city – against HSV. This was followed by five defeats and two draws. The biggest problem is their scoring rate – St. Pauli have only managed to score more than one goal away from home against HSV. In the remaining seven league games, they scored only three more goals in total, only one of which was scored in the first half.

Therefore, it is no surprise that we are predicting no goals in the first half for the visitors and under 1.5 goals for St. Pauli in total in the Wolfsburg vs. St. Pauli match at Winamax.

Wolfsburg – St. Pauli Head-to-head record

VfL Wolfsburg and FC St. Pauli have played each other 16 times in competitive matches. These encounters include six Bundesliga matches and ten 2. Bundesliga matches. The high number of draws is striking: in ten games, both teams parted ways without a winner. FC St. Pauli won six encounters, while Wolfsburg only emerged victorious once. The goal difference also clearly favors the Hamburg team: St. Pauli scored a total of 37 goals, while Wolfsburg managed 23.

Wolfsburg – St. Pauli Tip

For the Wolfsburg vs. St. Pauli match, the betting odds from the best bookmakers favor the hosts from Wolfsburg. This is of course due to their higher individual quality, as well as St. Pauli’s record of only one win in eight away games. In addition, the Hamburg team has only scored twice in one of their Bundesliga away games and has the worst away offense in the league after HSV.

VfL Wolfsburg has the worst defense in the league with 36 goals conceded – shared with Heidenheim. They also have the worst home defense in the league with 19 goals conceded, also shared with the team from Brenz.

In addition, VfL have conceded eleven goals in their last four home games alone. Wolfsburg have also won only one of their 16 direct duels against St. Pauli, with all three home games in the Bundesliga ending in a draw.