Will Fener upset the favorites?

Unai Emery has already won the UEFA Europa League four times – three times with Sevilla FC and once in the 2020/21 season as coach of Villarreal. That’s why the Spaniard is often referred to as “Mr. Europa League.” Now the 54-year-old is about to play his 100th competitive game in this competition. He is the first coach ever to reach this milestone. Jorge Jesus currently ranks second with 68 EL competitive games. It would be all the more fitting for the Spanish coach if his Lions were to win away in the anniversary game between Fenerbahce and Aston Villa.

The Villans are currently third in the Premier League and are probably the hottest team around, also sitting in third place internationally with 15 out of a possible 18 points. Their good chances of overall victory also stem from the fact that, since the introduction of the league phase, no “relegated” teams from the Champions League have entered the knockout stage.

Speaking of the knockout phase, the Lions would love to skip the intermediate round, which requires a top-eight finish. However, it could be a game of patience on the Bosporus, given the Turks’ stable defense. In our opinion, the bet that there will be a maximum of one goal in the first half is highly likely.

We would, however, steer clear of the three-way system. Not only have the Sari Kanaryalar (English: the Yellow Canaries) not lost any of their last five games in the EL league phase (three wins, two draws) and won all four competitive games played in the 2026 calendar year, but the visitors from Birmingham don’t necessarily need all three points on the Bosporus. Even if they lose away, a win at home against Salzburg next week would most likely secure a top-eight finish. A draw, on the other hand, would certainly be enough. So we don’t expect the Lions to go all out for the win.

Against this backdrop, we would not rule out a 0-0 draw, nor a scenario in which this match is decided by a single goal. So if you’re looking for higher odds on Fenerbahce vs. Aston Villa, you can use the handy Bet-at-home app to bet at odds of 2.35 that a maximum of one team will score in this Turkish-English top match.

Fenerbahce – Aston Villa Head-to-head comparison / H2H record

Head to head: 0 – 0 – 2

Two European competitive matches have already taken place between the two teams, and in both cases Aston Villa prevailed against Fenerbahce without conceding a goal. However, considering that both matches date back to the 1977/78 UEFA Cup and took place more than 48 years ago, those two matches are of course no longer relevant for today’s comparison.

Fenerbahçe – Aston Villa  Tip

Basically, our prediction for Fenerbahce vs. Aston Villa leans toward the Lions. However, the Sari Kanaryalar should not be underestimated. FB won all four competitive games in 2026, kept a clean sheet three times, and is also unbeaten in five Europa League games (three wins, two draws). Considering that the Villans are not under pressure and could potentially settle for a draw at Sükrü Saracoglu Stadium, we do not expect the visitors to go all out for the win.

Against this backdrop, both teams could almost completely neutralize each other, especially in the first half, which is why we believe the best value bet is that there will be a maximum of one goal in the first half.

For under 1.5 goals before the half-time whistle, Interwetten is offering odds of 1.53 for Fenerbahce vs. Aston Villa, which we are betting on with five out of ten units.

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