American bets on the surface!
The 2026 Australian Open is entering its second week and the wheat has long since been separated from the chaff in the starting field. The excitement is mounting in Melbourne, including the clash between Lorenzo Musetti and Taylor Fritz, for which tips and current odds are available below!
The Italian was already in strong form at the preparatory tournament in Hong Kong, reaching the final. He quickly put his disappointment at losing the final to Kazakhstan’s Alexander Bublik behind him. At the “Happy Slam,” he is now in the round of 16 for the first time in his career!
Now, however, he faces his toughest opponent yet. Fritz has reached this stage of the tournament twice before and has more experience at the Australian Open. What’s more, he is in good form: in his three matches at the 2026 AO, he has not dropped more than two sets.
This means he will be fresher than the pro from Tuscany, who recently had to play five sets against the Czech Machac, and the four and a half hours on court took a lot out of him. Against this backdrop, we are predicting a victory for the American in the match between Lorenzo Musetti and Taylor Fritz.
However, we also expect the Italian to win at least one set, which is why the Musetti vs. Fritz odds of more than 3.5 sets are equally recommendable.
Lorenzo Musetti – Taylor Fritz Head-to-head record / H2H record
Musetti has won three of his last four matches against Fritz. However, he lost their last encounter around three months ago, also on hard court. The duel took place on this surface, which is also being used at the current tournament in Melbourne, which is why the Italian is still waiting for a hard court triumph against the 28-year-old.
The bookmakers are once again giving the US boy moderate favoritism in the Lorenzo Musetti vs. Taylor Fritz odds.
Lorenzo Musetti – Taylor Fritz Tip
The Italian and the American will face off in a duel between two top ten players in the world rankings! The ingredients for a close match are all there, but we slightly favor the Californian. He has saved more energy than Musetti during the tournament and we consider him to be the stronger player on hard court.
Fritz recorded a straight 2-0 victory in their last match on this surface at the ATP Finals in Turin last November. His recent strong performance against Stan Wawrinka also speaks in his favor.
At 40, the Swiss player is long past his prime, but he remains extremely popular with spectators in Melbourne, especially after his 2014 triumph over Rafael Nadal. They cheered him on euphorically once again in his match against Fritz, as he had announced before the start of the tournament that he would not be competing in the Australian Open again.
Fritz’s victory over “Stan the Man,” who first competed in the AO 20 years ago, can therefore be seen as an expression of Fritz’s current strong mental state.

