The next respectable success for the sports club?
SC Freiburg could still be knocked out of the top eight in purely theoretical terms. However, this would require an extremely unlikely combination of results. Not only would Ferencvaros have to win in Nottingham, for example, but Porto would also need a big win against Glasgow Rangers. Nevertheless, if Lille beat Freiburg and the Breisgauers lose away, we would have to look at the other stadiums again.
A draw, on the other hand, would secure the Black Forest club’s place in the round of 16. LOSC, too, would minimize the risk of slipping out of the top 24 with just one point.
Of course, we do not expect a non-aggression pact, especially since the northern French could even reach the top 16 with a home win. Instead of having to play a team like Nottingham, Bologna, Porto, or Stuttgart in the playoffs, they would possibly face a supposedly easier opponent in Brann Bergen or Panathinaikos Athens. However, Les Dogues will certainly not go in with their heads down, especially as their record against Bundesliga teams is poor. LOSC have won only one of eleven international competitive games against German clubs (five draws, five defeats) – a 3-1 win against Wolfsburg in the 2021/22 Champions League.
Given this situation, we expect both teams to focus primarily on avoiding mistakes, so it makes the most sense to bet on a game with not too many goals. We recommend betting on a maximum of two goals being scored in this French-German duel.
It is also very conceivable that at least one team will remain goalless. On the one hand, this could be LOSC, because Freiburg have conceded only three goals in seven Europa League games internationally, making them the best defense in the entire competition. On the other hand, however, the Sport-Club itself has failed to score in seven of its last 15 Europa League away games. Noteworthy: when Freiburg scored away from home, they picked up points in all eight cases (six wins, two draws).
For the tip that a maximum of one team will score, the Bet-at-home app offers odds of 2.05 for Lille vs. Freiburg.
Lille – Freiburg Head-to-head record
Head to head: 0 – 0 – 0
The two teams have never crossed paths in a European competitive match before. While Lille OSC has only managed a single win in eleven games against Bundesliga teams (five draws, five defeats), SC Freiburg has enjoyed playing against French clubs in the Europa League. The Sport-Club has remained completely unbeaten in five attempts against Ligue 1 teams (four wins, one draw) and has already recorded a 3-1 victory over Nice in the current league phase.
Lille – Freiburg Tip
Basically, it is not advisable to predict the outcome of the match between Lille and Freiburg. Both teams are likely to be fully satisfied with a draw and have an extremely difficult domestic task ahead of them just a few days after the last match of the EL league phase. LOSC, who have lost their last three Ligue 1 games, travel to Olympique Lyon and have the chance to significantly reduce the gap to fourth place, which has currently grown to four points. Freiburg, on the other hand, are away to VfB Stuttgart. It is therefore difficult to imagine that Thursday evening will see a battle of attrition at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy.
Instead, we expect a game in which both teams will be satisfied with a draw, which is why we anticipate a match plan that will likely focus on avoiding mistakes on both sides. That doesn’t exactly bode well for a lot of action, let alone a goal fest in northern France, which is why we favor the tip that a maximum of two goals will be scored. For under 2.5 goals, Lille vs. Freiburg betting odds of 1.91 are available, which we are betting on at Betano with four out of ten units.
