Will there be a thriller in the AO final?
There are countless superlatives to discuss in the Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina tip. In summary: The excitement for this 2026 Australian Open final in women’s singles could hardly be greater. Both players have flown through almost the entire tournament.
In our Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina prediction, it inevitably boils down to one of the two players dropping their first set of the tournament. However, it is also conceivable that both players will drop a set, resulting in a final that goes the full distance of three sets.
In any case, it would be fitting for this match, which is a rematch of the 2023 Australian Open final. At that time, Sabalenka won her first of what are now four Grand Slam titles. In a dramatic contest, the world number one won after three intense sets.
The 27-year-old is the clear favorite among the best betting providers in the Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina betting odds comparison. We are not as certain about the distribution of roles as the bookmakers are. After all, the eight-time Grand Slam finalist lost her last match against the Kazakhstani.
We see the two finalists as being more evenly matched in their current form. We therefore see more value with the German betting providers in Sabalenka vs. Rybakina in the odds for a win by the world number five. That’s exactly what we’re going for at Interwetten, where we’re betting on “Elena Rybakina to win” at odds of 2.40.
Aryna Sabalenka – Elena Rybakina Head-to-head comparison / H2H statistics
The two top athletes have faced each other many times in their careers. Sabalenka narrowly leads the head-to-head comparison, winning eight of the 14 matches against the 2022 Wimbledon champion, but losing the last match.
If we apply a few filters to the head-to-head record, we can see some interesting factors. The world number one has a narrow lead in outdoor hard court matches (5:4), but interestingly has lost two of three WTA Finals matches. Most recently, the four-time Grand Slam winner lost in the final without winning a single set.
In 2023, the women already faced each other in the Australian Open final, when Rybakina let a set lead slip away.
Aryna Sabalenka – Elena Rybakina Tip
At that time, Rybakina was just beginning to build up some unique momentum. Including the end of last calendar year, the Kazakh has won 19 of her last 20 matches. During this phase, Rybakina did not even stop in front of the world’s greatest players, winning nine consecutive matches against top 10 players.
In addition, the Grand Slam winner is the emotional counterpart to Sabalenka. Thanks to her calm and level-headed nature, Rybakina gives her opponents little cause for friction, even if it may seem otherwise from time to time.
Unlike many other players on the tour, Rybakina can also keep up with Sabalenka’s serve. At the moment, there is probably no other player in the world besides Rybakina who can be expected to win against the world number one in Australia.
Sabalenka is in the Australian Open final for the fourth time in a row, has won 43 of her last 45 matches Down Under, and has won 20 of her last 21 Australian Open matches. Nevertheless, it will not be an easy ride through this final.
