Will the Partenopei keep a clean sheet once again?
Sitting third in the table, the Partenopei are at least back on track for the Champions League. They hold a five-point lead over fifth place. If the Azzurri secure a home win against Lecce, they would at least maintain this lead. Their home form speaks for itself: At the foot of Mount Vesuvius, Antonio Conte’s side has not lost any of their 13 Serie A home games in the 2025/26 season (nine wins, four draws).
The Neapolitans’ greatest asset is their defensive stability. They have conceded only twelve goals in those 13 home games—an average of less than one goal per match. However, the Azzurri have recently lost some of that compactness. The Partenopei have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last ten competitive matches. Nevertheless, a bet on a shutout victory for the Campanians is now our top recommendation. The reason for this, however, lies with US Lecce, who, while winning three of their last five league games (two losses) and thereby building a three-point lead over the first relegation spot, have scored only 20 goals in 28 Serie A matches—the lowest total in the league.
There is therefore little to suggest that the visitors from Apulia will pick up points at the foot of Vesuvius, let alone score an away goal. After all, the Giallorossi have managed just nine goals on the road, a tally surpassed only by Lazio Rome (eight) across the league. It should be noted, however, that the Partenopei have rarely put on a true offensive fireworks display. Against this backdrop, it would be entirely possible to squeeze a bit more value out of the odds for Napoli vs. Lecce by betting on Winamax that Conte’s side will win the home game either 1-0, 2-0, or 3-0.
Napoli – Lecce Head-to-Head Record
Head-to-Head: 19 – 14 – 7
A total of 40 matches have taken place between the two teams so far, and with 19 wins, SSC Napoli clearly leads the head-to-head record against US Lecce. Currently, the Partenopei are unbeaten in seven Serie A matches against the Giallorossi (five wins, two draws) and have kept a clean sheet against the Wolves in five consecutive matches. In the first leg as well, the Azzurri secured a 1-0 away win in Apulia.
Napoli – Lecce Prediction
One of Serie A’s weakest away teams visits a club that has conceded only twelve goals in 13 home games and remained unbeaten in all 13 matches (nine wins, four draws).
Consequently, the only realistic prediction for Napoli vs. Lecce is that Antonio Conte’s squad can secure another three points at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, keeping the defending champions at least on track for another UEFA Champions League qualification. The head-to-head record also speaks against the visitors, who have gone 488 minutes of competitive play without scoring against the Partenopei.
Given that the Giallorossi are bringing the weakest offense in Serie A to Campania and have scored just 20 goals in 28 league games, it also makes a lot of sense to bet that the Azzurri can keep a clean sheet for the first time in ten competitive matches. We therefore recommend betting on a clean-sheet victory for the Partenopei.
