Can Chelsea pull off a comeback?

In the battle for a spot in the semifinals, the Blues naturally have significantly worse odds following their bitter 1-3 loss in the first leg. The bookmakers agree, as the highest odds offered for the home team to advance are 4.40.

In the second part of our Chelsea vs. Arsenal Women’s preview, we’ll focus on the home and away records of both teams. However, this doesn’t fundamentally change the likelihood of the visiting team advancing, as Renee Slegers’ squad generally performs well on the road.

To be precise, the Gunners have lost only two of their twelve away games, and those were against Manchester City and FC Bayern Munich. So there’s certainly no sign of weakness on the road here. On the other hand, the Blues are very strong at home, having won twelve of their 16 home games. However, Sonia Bompastor’s team stumbled against FCA of all teams, so the home advantage loses at least some of its weight.

Another reason pointing against a potential comeback is the current form of both teams. The visiting team is currently on an eleven-game winning streak and has lost only a single match since November 13, 2025.

Things haven’t gone quite as well for the Blues in recent weeks as they have for their city rivals, because aside from the loss in the first leg, Renee Slegers’ team also dropped points against the London City Lionesses, Manchester City, and once again against the Gunners. The two losses to their upcoming opponent, in particular, naturally explain why the Chelsea vs. Arsenal Women odds suggest the home team won’t advance.

Chelsea – Arsenal Women Head-to-Head / H2H Record

So, in the first three sections of our analysis, there is nothing yet to suggest the hosts will advance.

For the home team’s fans, however, this does not improve their prospects of reaching the semifinals, as the Blues have failed to secure a victory in recent history, having earned just one point from their last three encounters. On the other hand, we cannot claim that Sonia Bompastor’s team was truly outplayed. That will be one of the reasons why the Chelsea vs. Arsenal Women betting odds in the second leg favor a home win.

 Chelsea – Arsenal Women Prediction

Taking all the above facts into account, we have decided on the Chelsea vs. Arsenal Women betting tip for over 1.5 goals by the home team. This tip will certainly come as a surprise to some, but we didn’t choose it without good reason. Sonia Bompastor’s team needs at least two goals to even the score from the first leg. Furthermore, the Blues possess the necessary quality to create a multitude of clear-cut chances against the Gunners as well.

This was also the case, for example, in the match on January 24, 2026, when FCB lost 0-2 despite five clear-cut chances. With 38 goals in 16 home games, the home team is statistically capable of scoring twice here.

Alternatively, you can also add the Chelsea vs. Arsenal Women odds for “both teams to score – yes” to your betting slip. Given that the hosts will have to take more risks sooner or later, spaces will inevitably open up for the visiting team.

Given the quality the Gunners bring to the table, we consider it very likely that Renee Slegers’ team will score. Additionally, the Blues have conceded at least one goal in each of their last three matches.