Is Inter Milan on its way to the double?
For the third time since early March, Inter Milan and Como will face off on Tuesday evening. The previous two matchups could hardly have been more different. While the current Serie A leader won the league match a week and a half ago 4-3 at Lake Como, despite conceding 24 shots and an xGA of 3.12, the first leg of the Coppa Italia semifinal ended in a dull 0-0 draw. Curiously, there was only a single shot on goal in the entire 90 minutes of that cup match.
These starkly different encounters from the recent past now make it difficult to make a suitable prediction ahead of Inter Milan’s second leg against Como. According to the top bookmakers in Germany, however, the home side from the fashion capital are clear favorites this time around.
This assessment is primarily based on recent results. After a temporary dip in form, the “Nerazzurri” have shown significant improvement lately and won all three league matches following the international break. Coach Cristian Chivu’s team scored a whopping twelve goals.
Four of those goals, along with two assists, came from Marcus Thuram, who is virtually making up for Lautaro Martinez’s recurring absence in the final stretch of the season. It’s quite possible that the French international will also find the back of the net in the crucial Coppa Italia second leg.
Despite Milan’s impressive offensive performances—which, with a twelve-point lead over their pursuers, have long since put the Scudetto champagne on ice—my Inter Milan vs. Como prediction, by the way, leans more toward an under on goals! The main reason, logically, is the impression left by the first leg as well as the immense significance of this return match for both clubs. The Nerazzurri are aiming for the domestic double, while Fabregas’s side is dreaming of the very first major title in the club’s history.
To hold their own at San Siro, the “Lariani” must, especially defensively, build on what they’ve achieved for much of this season in Italy’s top flight. Only AC Milan has conceded fewer goals than the team currently in fifth place, which, although it lost its last two league matches, has not conceded more than one goal on the road in the 2026 calendar year.
Overall, 13 goals conceded in opposing stadiums is a breathtaking statistic, which further prompts me to take a closer look at the under-goals betting odds between Inter Milan and Como. A solid option is the Under 2.75 bet from the bet365 app at odds of 1.76, which guarantees half your stake back as cashback even if three goals are scored during the match.
Inter Milan – Como Head-to-Head Record
The two most recent matchups were already discussed in the introduction. The Serie A first leg on St. Nicholas Day, however, is likely still fresh in the minds of Inter fans. Last year’s Champions League finalist prevailed 4-0, although two of the four goals were scored in the closing stages. Como had already tried in vain to defeat Inter the previous season. In 2024/25, they lost both the home and away matches 0-2. In four of the five encounters since Como’s promotion, Fabregas’s side has thus failed to score. Meanwhile, the underdog’s last competitive victory dates back to 1985—a time when none of the players on the field on Tuesday had even been born yet…
Inter Milan – Como Prediction
Everything is still up for grabs ahead of the Coppa Italia semifinal second leg. The first leg at Lake Como ended in a 0-0 draw, with the “Lariani” coming slightly closer to scoring the goal of the day in what was, overall, a dull match. That is likely to change on Tuesday evening, especially since the undisputed Serie A leaders now enjoy home-field advantage and have recently performed significantly better than they did in the spring. Como, on the other hand, lost 1-2 to Sassuolo over the weekend, following a 3-4 league defeat to Inter. If Fabregas’s charges want to pull off an upset, they’ll have to rely on their typically very solid defense!
While I see the “Nerazzurri” as clear favorites on their home turf, a cup match always has its own dynamics. Como has had a formidable season so far and is desperate to fulfill their dream of reaching the final. My preferred approach is therefore to bet on Under 2.75 (Asian) in the match between Inter Milan and Como. The 1.76 odds are worth a stake of six units to me. For a home win, you’d get 1.80 at Betano. As a value bet, I suggest Thuram as the goalscorer!
