Will the No. 1 storm into the final?
For a Masters semifinal, the balance of power in this match is exceptionally lopsided. The Italian home favorite is the overwhelming favorite against the Russian.
We still have a Jannik Sinner vs. Daniil Medvedev tip ready! The world No. 1 has not dropped a single set in four matches during the tournament in the “Eternal City,” once again proving his already impressive form with this record.
Sinner hasn’t lost a match since a defeat in mid-February of this year in Doha against the Czech Jakub Mensik. A streak that now spans 27 matches, games, and four tournament wins in between!
In Rome, the South Tyrolean is also entering the tournament with extra motivation. After all, he is still waiting for a triumph on the Tiber. On top of that, Sinner has only reached the final once. He achieved this feat last year, though he ultimately fell short against Carlos Alcaraz in two sets.
This year, the Spaniard did not even compete in Rome due to injury, which is why the path seems clear for Sinner to claim his first victory at the clay-court tournament in the Italian capital. For the semifinal between Jannik Sinner and Daniil Medvedev, we’re also predicting a victory for the favorite in two sets.
Furthermore, given the clear balance of power, we don’t expect a set to be decided by a tiebreak. More information about the Internazionali BNL d’Italia, which offers the tournament winner prize money of around one million euros.
Jannik Sinner – Daniil Medvedev Head-to-Head Record
Medvedev and Sinner have faced each other 17 times since their first match in February 2020 in Marseille, and the Italian leads the series with ten wins and seven losses. However, if we narrow the focus to the recent past, a much clearer picture emerges in favor of the South Tyrolean.
He has prevailed in eleven of their last twelve matches. For the upcoming match between Jannik Sinner and Daniil Medvedev, the odds also point to the Italian, seeded No. 1 in Rome, as the favorite.
Jannik Sinner – Daniil Medvedev Prediction
Jannik Sinner hasn’t dropped a set in eight matches! At the recent clay-court tournament in Madrid, he started with a 2-0 lead after a 2-1 victory over France’s Bonzi and went on to win the tournament; we expect him to repeat this display of dominance in Rome.
Sinner is also particularly motivated playing in front of his home crowd, and this year he’s determined to finally secure his first tournament victory on the Tiber. His opponent, on the other hand, has had a very weak start to this year’s clay-court season.
In his opening match in Monte Carlo, Medvedev was humiliated by Matteo Berrettini, losing 0-6, 0-6 in less than an hour.
At the subsequent Masters in Madrid, however, he made it all the way to the round of 16, and his current run to the semifinals in Rome shows that he has since stabilized his form.
Furthermore, he feels particularly at home in Rome, as evidenced by the fact that he won the tournament there three years ago. To this day, this remains his only tournament victory on clay!
However, we see him as having no chance against the overwhelming Italian. Against this backdrop, we see sufficient value in the betting odds for the match between Jannik Sinner and Daniil Medvedev on another victory for the favorite without dropping a set.

