Will Juve Keep Another Clean Sheet?
Ruben Amorim has already implemented his preferred 3-4-2-1 formation in our Juventus vs. AC Milan pick. The Portuguese coach has been at the helm of the Rossoneri since this summer and is tasked with helping the club win its first league title since the 2021–2022 season. There’s not much to complain about when it comes to their results so far.
The visitors have come out on top in their first two league matches. However, Il Diavolo’s first real test awaits in our Juventus vs. AC Milan prediction. The matches against Torino (2–1) and Venezia (2–0) fell more into the category of must-win games.
Both top Italian clubs are each priced at over 2.00 in the Juventus vs. AC Milan betting odds for a win. The outlook looks better for the home team, whose start to the season has been extremely controlled. First, the Old Lady defeated Frosinone (1–0). Then the Bianconeri followed that up with a 2–0 win over Parma.
Recent head-to-head matchups have revealed a storyline we didn’t necessarily anticipate going in. Milan has failed to score in six of their last seven meetings. We’re exploring this trend even more closely in light of the Old Lady’s current form. Opposing teams haven’t had many promising scoring chances against the home team this season (0.04 xGA/shot—the best in the league).
Furthermore, we’re looking at the Rossoneri’s shooting statistics and are less than impressed. In the first two matchdays, Amorim’s team managed only nine shots on the opponent’s goal.
Juventus – AC Milan Head-to-Head Record
The goalkeepers have been the main focus of recent head-to-head matchups. They’ve been racking up clean sheets, with both keeping the net untouched in three of the five previous encounters. For Spalletti’s team, games with few goals conceded are the norm. In 20 home games, Juve allowed just 0.70 goals per match.
Overall, Juve has kept its goals-against average under Spalletti below one goal (38 goals conceded in 40 competitive matches). Also noteworthy is the statistic of 21 clean sheets in those 40 competitive matches. Conceding more than one goal at home has been an absolute rarity (4 out of 20).
Juventus – AC Milan Prediction
Shutout victories are a specialty of the Old Lady. With Spalletti on the sidelines, the Bianconeri celebrated three points without conceding a goal in nine of 20 home games. Despite this high defensive quality, however, Juve is by no means a team that relies on luck up front.
In only seven of the 40 Spalletti matches did the home team come away empty-handed and fail to score a goal of their own. The foundation for their success, however, lies in the backbone of their defense. Juve prevented their opponents from scoring more than one goal in 29 of 40 matches.
When that was the case, the Old Lady averaged 2.34 points per game.
Even when the hosts’ offense has been subdued, defeats are rare. Juve scored exactly one goal in eleven of Spalletti’s matches. They have suffered just one loss, alongside five draws and five wins.
