Will Bologna FC remain winless?

On Sunday, September 13, 2026, Napoli will host Bologna at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. Kickoff is at 6 p.m. This Napoli vs. Bologna preview covers Matchday 4 of Serie A, featuring two clubs that have yet to live up to expectations. The home team sits in 12th place with three points, while the visitors are in 15th place with one point. Nevertheless, there’s a clear favorite on paper, as a squad valued at around 433 million euros faces one valued at about 217 million. No wonder the highest odds for an away win are 5.00.

Let’s look at the numbers: There have been only a few home and away matches so far this season. So, the previous season provides a better context. Napoli won 15 of 25 competitive matches at home, drew seven, and lost seven; their goal difference was 41–23. That averages out to 2.56 goals per game. All in all, their home record looks quite solid. Bologna won 14 of 28 away matches, drew six times, and lost eight, with a goal difference of 42:36. This actually made the club one of the best away teams in Serie A. This away form plays a major role in assessing the Napoli vs. Bologna odds. Despite the considerable difference in squad value, Tedesco’s team by no means should be treated as a mere underdog.

This resulted in three consecutive losses. In all three league matches, however, the southern Italians managed at least one goal, while conceding twice. The visitors first lost 0–1 to Lazio, then 0–1 to Atalanta, and most recently played to a 2–2 draw against Sassuolo. Tedesco’s team thus earned only one point from three matches. His team failed to score in two of those matches and conceded at least one goal in each. In terms of form, the home team’s advantage is therefore minimal.

Naples – Bologna Head-to-Head Record

What can we deduce from the head-to-head comparison? For the Napoli vs. Bologna betting odds, 154 head-to-head matches show a relatively even split: 62 went to the southern Italians, 49 ended in a draw, and 43 were won by the club from Emilia-Romagna. Even more striking is the following fact: The home team has won only one of the last four matchups and just two of the most recent eight encounters.

The last major showdown took place in the Supercoppa Italiana final, which the Partenopei won. Nevertheless, recent matchups show that the underdog is certainly capable of pushing the Sky Blues to their limits. We therefore believe the odds have been set a bit too one-sided.

Naples – Bologna Prediction

Our Napoli vs. Bologna betting tip is “Bologna to score.” The hosts have conceded at least one goal in two of their three league matches and will have to do without goalkeeper Meret and center back Buongiorno. The departures of Miguel Gutiérrez and Juan Jesus had already weakened the defense compared to last season. Scott McTominay and Frank Anguissa are also out, which could affect their ability to control the midfield. While Bologna averages only 0.70 goals per league game, they average 4.3 shots on goal and have controlled matches with 59.7 percent possession.

“Both teams to score” is a good alternative bet. The Napoli vs. Bologna odds for this selection reflect the defensive vulnerabilities of both opponents. The visiting team has conceded at least one goal in every league game so far, while the Partenopei average 1.67 goals per match on offense. On the other side, the summer transfer window has brought new options in Artem Dovbyk, Roberto Piccoli, and Samuel Mbangula, although Riccardo Orsolini is sidelined with an injury. Scores like 1-1, 1-2, or 2-1 are certainly within the realm of possibility.

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