Will Salzburg’s home winning streak end against the Rossoneri?
The Red Bull Salzburg vs. AC Milan prediction is shaped primarily by what already feels like a somewhat tense situation for the Rossoneri. Over the summer, Milan invested around 165 million euros in the squad and also hired a new coach, Ruben Amorim, who has sparked new ambitions.
However, after the first competitive matches, a sense of disillusionment has already set in, as the team has recorded only three wins and three draws in Serie A after six matchdays. Their start to the Europa League group stage was particularly bitter, as Milan lost 0–2 at home to Benfica Lisbon. Following the recent disappointing draw at Sassuolo, the pressure ahead of the away match in Salzburg is therefore quite palpable.
Aside from that, the Red Bull Salzburg vs. AC Milan prediction is also influenced by the Austrians’ recently strong home record. They won all six of their first home games across all competitions with a combined score of 16–2, keeping a clean sheet in four of those matches.
Nevertheless, even the current second-place team in the Austrian Bundesliga hasn’t had a strong restart following the extended international break. The team led by German coach Danny Röhl had to settle for a 0–0 draw against Grazer AK. Considering they allowed 22 shots on goal, earning a point against the bottom-of-the-table team was actually a flattering result.
The draw is surprising in that Salzburg had remained unbeaten in 15 competitive matches—across the ÖFB Cup, Bundesliga, and Europa League (qualifiers)—up until today. Following their successful Europa League opener with a 1-0 win at Levski Sofia, they now have the chance to win two consecutive European matches for the first time since October 2021.
All in all, I expect a close match. Ahead of kickoff in the Red Bull Salzburg vs. AC Milan match, the odds may favor the storied Italian club, but the Rossoneri haven’t yet found their best form on offense.
They’ve scored more than two goals in only one of their seven competitive matches, and scoring on the road hasn’t been a given lately either: in just three of Milan’s last ten away games—across both seasons—has the “Over 2.5 goals” bet come through. Furthermore, in only three of Salzburg’s last ten competitive matches have both teams scored, which is why I expect a low-scoring game.
Red Bull Salzburg – AC Milan Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record supports the Red Bull Salzburg vs. AC Milan betting odds on the 1X2 market. The two clubs have faced each other four times in European competition, with Salzburg still waiting for its first win after one draw and three losses. Milan also has a strong international record against Austrian teams, winning nine of 13 matches, with three draws and just one loss.
The most recent matchup, in November 2022, ended in a decisive 4-0 victory for Milan. However, I don’t expect such a lopsided result on Thursday night, especially since Salzburg is likely to put up much more of a fight on home turf.
Red Bull Salzburg vs. AC Milan Prediction
This high-profile matchup between Red Bull Salzburg and AC Milan promises to be thrilling. While Salzburg can draw confidence from its strong home record and is by no means out of the running, the Rossoneri are already under pressure following their disappointing Europa League opener. A second loss to start the group stage would be a bitter setback for Milan and would put an early strain on their ambitions in the competition. Accordingly, I expect a focused performance from the visitors, who will first have to hold their own in Salzburg, however.
My Red Bull Salzburg vs. AC Milan prediction ultimately points to Under 3.5 goals. The statistics suggest this is unlikely to be a high-scoring spectacle. Milan has scored more than two goals in only one of its last seven competitive matches, while more than 2.5 goals were scored in just three of the Italians’ last ten away games. Furthermore, in three of Salzburg’s last ten competitive matches, both teams scored.
An interesting alternative is betting on “More goals in the second half”—after all, ten of Milan’s eleven goals this season were scored after the 60th minute. Risk-takers can also bet that no more than one of the two teams will score.
