Will the Bills’ offense keep rolling in Minnesota?
A clash of opposites awaits us in the Monday Night Game and our Vikings vs. Bills pick. On one side is the league’s best defense (Vikings: 13.3 points allowed per game), which is set to host the league’s best offense by a wide margin (Bills: 33.3 points per game).
That said, we do wonder how the Vikings plan to pull this off with their lackluster offense. That offense averages just 20.0 points—a whopping 13.3 fewer than the Bills’.
That’s one reason why we see the Bills coming out on top in Minnesota on Monday. Even in their weakest offensive performance this season, they still scored 24 points. A figure that Minnesota has only reached once this season—and that was two months ago.
With that in mind, our prediction for Vikings vs. Bills is an away win for the Bills, in which their defense will finally get a chance to shine. Kickoff is at 2:15 a.m. on Tuesday in Minneapolis.
In addition to all the bets on the Bills (handicap, win, or TD bets), the odds on low scoring in the first quarter are worth considering for Minnesota vs. Buffalo. The Vikings’ defense is still in good shape and has held opponents to under 3.5 points in four of their seven games so far.
Minnesota Vikings – Buffalo Bills Head-to-Head Record
The last matchup in Minneapolis took place in 2018 and ended in a decisive 27–6 victory for Buffalo. The Bills have also won two of their last three games at U.S. Bank Stadium, which we consider likely to happen again on Monday. It was already evident against the Lions last Sunday that the Vikings’ defense can only carry the load so far.
Since we consider the Bills’ offense to be even more potent (33.3 points per game speaks for itself), that should once again prove to be too much for Minnesota. Furthermore, the Bills’ defense isn’t as weak as is often claimed. When their offense scores so quickly and so often, the defense is simply called upon much more frequently.
Minnesota Vikings – Buffalo Bills Pick
Apart from the defense, there’s ultimately little to recommend the Vikings. Even if Moore were to sit out for the Bills, it wouldn’t change much, as the Bills can still distribute the ball effectively through Coleman, Shakir, or their tight ends.
Josh Allen, who is well on his way to winning the MVP title, will take care of the rest anyway. That’s why, for the Vikings vs. Bills matchup, our clear recommendation is a bet on Buffalo -3.5. While we’d steer clear of total points bets in this game, that doesn’t mean the Bills won’t score many touchdowns. James Cook, in particular, frequently finds the end zone (already 7 TDs). He’s done so in six consecutive games, making a TD bet on Cook a must.
