Will Philly regain momentum before the playoffs?

We assess the situation in Buffalo with our Bills vs. Eagles tip late on Sunday evening. Both teams have already secured their places in the playoffs, the only question now is how good their starting position will be. Neither team has much chance of securing the number 1 seed in their conference, but it will still be interesting.

Before the season, both Buffalo and Philly were considered the big favorites in their respective conferences, but then faltered several times this season – the Bills defensively, the Eagles mainly offensively. However, since Philadelphia has gotten its offensive problems somewhat under control, they are considered the slight favorites for Sunday.

This also brings the over points into play for this matchup. In their last matchup two years ago, both teams scored a total of 71 points – a figure that is unlikely to be quite reached on Sunday. However, the projected total of just under 43 points should be easily surpassed.

So, for Bills vs. Eagles, our prediction is a closely contested matchup that should be decided by a decisive drive (in our view, the Eagles have the advantage). But whoever wins is likely to clearly exceed the 20-point mark, as both offenses have been in really good form recently (Bills: 35 and 23, Eagles 31 and 29 points).

Kick-off for this top matchup on NFL Game Day 17 is on Sunday at 10:25 p.m. in Buffalo. The game will be broadcast live as a single game with German commentary on DAZN. Due to the playoff situation, the NFL recently reshuffled the games.

Buffalo Bills – Philadelphia Eagles Head-to-head comparison / H2H record

The Bills have been doing quite well against the Eagles lately. Five of the last six meetings went to Philadelphia, with them scoring at least 23 points five times. They should reach that number again on Sunday against the porous Bills defense.

The Bills have conceded an average of 28.3 points in their last three games, yet they still won all three. That could change against Philadelphia, as their defense is unlikely to allow 39 or 35 points. But even at 25, our over points value would already be well within reach.

Therefore, our clear betting recommendation for Bills vs. Eagles is over 42.5 total points. We could even go up to 45.5 or higher, as we expect a duel that will really pick up speed towards the end.

Buffalo Bills – Philadelphia Eagles Tip

Statistically, this matchup is just as balanced as the betting providers estimate. The Bills have a slightly better point difference (albeit against slightly weaker opponents), while the Eagles have a slightly better turnover ratio (+4 to +2).

However, all the stats are quite close together and we are particularly interested in the offense statistics here. Buffalo scores an average of 28.9 points, Philly 23.3. Taken together, this already adds up to well over 50 total points. Combined with Buffalo’s disastrous defense, the betting odds for Bills vs. Eagles on over 42.5 total points are a clear must bet.

There are several players in the running for our Player Bet. However, the Bills have the weakest rushing defense in the entire NFL (158.9 rushing yards conceded per game). Saquon Barkley should score at least one touchdown.