Can Finland trip up the DBB team in the semifinals?
The German national basketball team narrowly avoided elimination in the European Championship quarterfinals. Against a strong Slovenian team, the DBB team was trailing by up to nine points in the second half, but was able to rely on its deep bench in the final stages. Tristan da Silva, Maodo Lo, and Johannes Thiemann took responsibility and turned the game around in the fourth quarter in favor of the 2023 world champions (99-91). The Germans are now just 40 minutes away from reaching the final. Find out how their chances stand in the first semifinal at EuroBasket in our Germany vs. Finland preview! It is still fair to say that the German national basketball team is currently the benchmark on this continent.
On paper, the team led by head coach Alan Ibrahimagic, who has now officially taken over from Alex Mumbru, who is in poor health, is considered the clear favorite. On the one hand, this is of course because Germany has won all seven of its tournament games so far, scoring more than 100 points four times, generally fielding the best offense in this European Championship final round, and incidentally always winning by at least eight points.
On the other hand, the fact that this matchup has already taken place once in this tournament also plays a not insignificant role in the Germany vs. Finland prediction. In the last group game, the DBB team won 91-61, even in Tampere, Finland. The first semifinal will now take place in Latvia’s capital, Riga. Even if it turns out to be a closer game this time, I can’t imagine that the Finns will suddenly pose a serious threat to the reigning world champions.
Nevertheless, the underdogs from northern Europe deserve a big compliment. After all, Suomi, led by NBA star Lauri Markkanen, eliminated Serbia, Germany’s toughest opponent, in the round of 16. In the quarterfinals, Georgia was finally brought to its knees. The Finns are undoubtedly the positive surprise of Euro Basket 2025.
However, because the squad is one or two classes weaker at the top and in terms of depth, and because it should not be forgotten that the Finnish players who have made the difference so far in the tournament have spent significantly more time on the court, the issue of fatigue and freshness must be taken into account.
This makes the Germany vs. Finland odds for another handicap triumph by the favorites all the more interesting. A German victory by at least twelve points is obvious to me. VBET offers you a wider range of handicap lines.
Germany – Finland Head-to-head comparison / H2H record
It’s been a good week since Germany and Finland faced each other in this European Championship. After a relatively even first quarter, which ended with Germany leading 21:19, the match went in only one direction. At halftime, Germany was ahead by 14 points, and at the end of regular time, the difference was 30 points. Germany held Markkanen to 11 points and a poor shooting percentage. Far fewer turnovers, more team play, and generally better field goal percentages were the reasons for the DBB team’s landslide victory. They have won all five direct duels against Suomi since 2016, three of them by at least 14 points.
Germany – Finland Tip
When an average performance over long stretches is enough to defeat Slovenia by eight points in the quarterfinals, it quickly becomes clear why, ahead of the semifinal between Germany and Finland, the betting odds for a DBB victory at the best sports betting providers do not even exceed 1.15. Considering that Franz Wagner and Dennis Schröder had poor shooting percentages against Slovenia and the bench had to step up to fill the gap, there seems to be no alternative but to assume another German victory at Euro Basket 2025. Especially if the players and team are back to their normal form on Friday afternoon at 4:00 p.m. in Riga.
Finland has undoubtedly played an outstanding tournament so far, but is now likely to reach its limits in the semifinals, especially physically. After exhausting matches against Serbia and Georgia, I don’t think Suomi is capable of a surprise, and I would like to point out once again that the 2023 world champions already won the group match against the Scandinavians by 30 points. I am therefore pushing for a bet on the favorites to win by at least twelve points, which brings with it a maximum odds of 1.83 at VBET. My stake is five units.
