Match point for OKC!
The tension in the 2025 NBA Finals is reaching its peak: Game 6 will decide the series if the hosts suffer a defeat. OKC prevailed in the last game and now leads 3-2. Read our preview of the match to find out whether the Indiana Pacers tip against Oklahoma City Thunder could be worth another defeat for the home team!
The Pacers have home advantage, of course, but their personnel situation is tense ahead of the do-or-die game. Indy is worried about the availability of their top guard, Tyrese Haliburton. The best player in Rick Carlisle’s squad was injured in the last game and scored just four points due to his injury.
Even if he does play, he will certainly not be fit, which is why the hosts can be considered weakened. For Game 6 of the 2025 NBA Finals between the Indiana Pacers and Oklahoma City Thunder, the prediction now includes more than 9.5 points by TJ McConnell for the hosts, who has already stepped into the breach recently and is in good form.
Indiana Pacers – Statistics & current form
The franchise from “Circle City” won seven of its ten home games in the 2025 NBA postseason. They often impressed in those games from a defensive perspective. Although the Eastern Conference winners’ offense is undoubtedly their showpiece, coach Rick Carlisle’s team also defends strongly, at least on their home turf.
They have conceded fewer than 110 points in four of their last six home games in the postseason. Obi Toppin is also in good form. The power forward already picked up steam toward the end of the last round against the New York Knicks. He scored in double digits in the final two games against the basket hunters from the Big Apple and continued that form at the start of the 2025 NBA Finals against OKC with 17 points.
Toppin also impressed in the last two games against Oklahoma with at least a dozen points. His rising scoring figures are also due to the fact that coach Rick Carlisle is giving the 27-year-old more and more playing time.
Toppin on target again?
While Toppin averaged between 15 and 16 minutes on the court in the first two rounds of the postseason, that figure rose to 19 minutes in the Eastern Conference Finals against the Knicks. In the current series against OKC, it’s even close to 25 minutes! Against this backdrop, the odds of him scoring more than 10.5 points in the Pacers’ battle with OKC look even more promising.
Oklahoma City Thunder – Statistics & current form
Coach Mark Daigneault’s visiting team has not covered itself in glory in the NBA playoffs on the road. Of the nine away games, City Thunder won just over half (5).
This is mainly due to the fact that the visitors’ offense is less effective on the road. Even MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is not immune to this criticism. Although SGA scored an impressive 35 points in the last away game at Indiana, the guard has often been unable to build on his consistently strong home performances.
Is the MVP struggling away from home again?
Against this backdrop, the betting odds for the Canadian to score less than 33.5 points in Game 6 between the Indiana Pacers and Oklahoma City Thunder are also worth considering. This is a mark that the guard has not surpassed in seven of his ten away games in the 2025 postseason. The odds are available at Oddset, and you can also bet conveniently on your mobile device via the app from the bookmaker on the Isar!
Indiana Pacers – Oklahoma City Thunder Head-to-head comparison / H2H record
The home team has won two-thirds of its last nine home games against OKC. However, for the upcoming rematch between the Indiana Pacers and Oklahoma City Thunder, the bookmakers’ odds favor the visitors.
Indiana Pacers – Oklahoma City Thunder Tip
For Game 6 of the NBA Finals between the Indiana Pacers and Oklahoma City Thunder, the prediction is for more than 9.5 points by TJ McConnell for the hosts. The entire Indiana team will have to take on more responsibility in light of the impending absence or at least physical impairment of Tyrese Haliburton, and this applies not least to a bench player like McConnell.
The point guard took 14 shots in the last game, when Haliburton was already injured, twice as many as his previous average of seven. In addition, he is in good form anyway. The 33-year-old veteran is averaging 11.2 points in the 2025 NBA Finals and most recently scored 18 points – his best tally in this year’s postseason.
With the aforementioned average, he is also above his average scoring totals from the regular season and postseason! From this perspective, too, the Indiana Pacers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Finals tip is well-founded.