Who will win the first NFL game in Berlin?
The NFL is coming to Berlin for the first time and the city is buzzing with excitement for our Colts vs. Falcons tip. After some raised eyebrows when the matchup was announced, this game can now be considered a top matchup.
This is mainly due to Daniel Jones and his Indianapolis Colts. However, they were cooled off a bit by the Steelers last Sunday, and it remains to be seen how they will cope with this defeat and their six turnovers.
In addition, the Colts, like the Falcons, still have to deal with jet lag. Teams that came to Europe did not always succeed in doing so. Especially in cold Germany, relatively few points are scored – only 31.25 on average. This is, of course, due to the unfamiliar conditions, the long flight, and the short preparation time.
Therefore, our prediction for Colts vs. Falcons is another low-scoring duel that will fall well short of the 50-point mark. The winner will be decided between the Colts’ rushing offense and the Falcons’ rushing defense – with a slight advantage for Indy.
Kick-off for the Germany Game is on Sunday afternoon at 3:30 p.m. in Berlin. It is the first game on Sunday of NFL Week 10 and will be broadcast live on both RTL and DAZN.
Indianapolis Colts – Atlanta Falcons Head-to-head comparison / H2H record
A rare spectacle awaits us on Sunday afternoon. Not only is the game taking place in Germany for once, but this matchup also only happens every 2-4 years. The last time these two teams met in 2023, the Falcons won 29-10.
In general, there tend to be fewer points in this matchup. The 48.5 points scheduled for Sunday have only been exceeded once in the last six games. Another point that speaks in favor of under points here, besides the relatively low-scoring games on German fields.
Therefore, the odds for under 48.5 total points are recommended for Colts vs. Falcons. In addition, this number has only been exceeded once in Falcons games this season. Despite all the criticism, the Falcons’ defense is not as bad as its reputation, conceding 22.3 points per game.
Indianapolis Colts – Atlanta Falcons Tip
The Colts are the only team to rank in the top 8 in both rushing and passing offense. That’s why we consider them the slight favorites here, even though anything can happen in international games. A slightly complicated journey or a turbulent flight and one team is clearly at a disadvantage.
In this respect, we would tend to avoid betting on Indianapolis to win, despite their status as favorites. It is precisely these preparation problems that often lead to somewhat disjointed games “in distant Europe,” which is why our number one betting option for Colts vs. Falcons is to bet on under points.
As a player bet for the Olympic Stadium, we have picked Colts rookie Tyler Warren. He has already scored three touchdowns this season and has also been thrown to at least five times by quarterback Daniel Jones in eight of the nine games this season. A TD from Warren is therefore a good value bet.
