Will the MVP take the lead again?

After two games in Indianapolis, the NBA Finals return to the Paycom Center. The series is tied at 2-2, and you can find out which Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers tip is best for the next showdown on June 17 in the following analysis!

The hosts had their backs against the wall in the last game, trailing going into the final quarter. However, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander then turned it around and scored 15 of his 35 points! Thanks to his monster performance at the end of the game, OKC prevailed and evened the series.

A defeat would have made their chances of winning the title very slim. Only once in 38 cases has a team in NBA Finals history come back from a 1-3 deficit! For the fifth battle in the NBA Finals between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Indiana Pacers, the prediction is once again for more than 34.5 points from Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for the hosts.

Oklahoma City Thunder – Statistics & current form

OKC will be glad to have a home game coming up. In the postseason, the home team has lost only two of eleven home games! In contrast, their away record is significantly weaker, with five wins from nine games.

One reason for their strong home performances is their reliable offensive play in front of their own fans. The Paycom Center crew has scored at least 118 points in eight of their eleven home playoff games.

In light of this, the odds for Game 5 between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers are once again more than 116.5 points for Coach Mark Daigneault’s team. You can place your bets at Betano, and the bookmaker also has Betano freebets up for grabs!

Will they continue their upward momentum?

On offense, Luguentz Dort is also gaining momentum. The guard has scored in double figures in three of his last five games against the Pacers and Minnesota Timberwolves. By comparison, his average in the 2025 NBA playoffs is around 8 points, which is why these statistics indicate a clear improvement in form.

Indiana Pacers – Statistics & current form

Indiana coach Rick Carlisle can be satisfied with his team’s away performances in the postseason so far. Only three of the ten games played on the road ended in defeat for the two-time Eastern Conference winners!

In addition, Oklahoma T. J. McConnell. The bench player exceeded his points average of 9.1 in the two games against OKC during the regular season with a score of 10.5, and he is also performing above average against Oklahoma in the current series.

The Indiana veteran, who has been with the Pacers since 2019, has averaged 9.5 points. McConnell has also topped his scoring average from the previous two rounds against the New York Knicks (8.0) and Cleveland Cavaliers (7.2).

Will McConnell score more than seven points again?

More than seven points from McConnell again? Given these figures, the betting odds for him to score more than 7.5 points during the game between OKC and Indiana are also worth considering. It’s a mark he has surpassed in all four previous meetings in the current series against OKC! Odds are available at Bet365.

Oklahoma City Thunder – Indiana Pacers Head-to-head record / H2H record

Oklahoma won the last home game against the Pacers a few days ago 123-107. Looking back further, however, OKC’s home record against the Indianapolis team leaves room for improvement.

More than half (5) of the last eight home games against Indy ended in victory for the visitors. For Game 5 between the Indiana Pacers and Oklahoma City Thunder, however, the bookmakers’ odds clearly favor the home team. 

Oklahoma City Thunder – Indiana Pacers Tip

In Game 5 between the Indiana Pacers and Oklahoma City Thunder, the tip is for more than 34.5 points by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. The point guard feels particularly comfortable in front of his home crowd. In the first two home games of the 2025 NBA Finals, he scored no less than 72 points, and his penchant for performing well on his home turf was also evident in the playoffs.

One example was the Western Conference final against the Minnesota Timberwolves. SGA averaged 34.3 points in the three home games of the series!

In this particularly important game, he also wants to lead the way as NBA MVP and take on as much responsibility as possible as the home team’s leader. The Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers prediction is further supported from this perspective.

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