Will OKC secure their place in the final?

The T-Wolves have their backs against the wall going into Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals. If they lose, Finch’s team will be eliminated and OKC will be the first team to qualify for the 2025 NBA Finals! Read on to find out which Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Minnesota Timberwolves tip could be worthwhile in the eyes of Wettbasis in the following preview of the clash at the Target Center.

The home team leads the series 3-1 and is counting on its home advantage. In the current postseason, they have won seven of eight home games! Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Minnesota Timberwolves prediction also points to another strong performance by the hosts and at least 115 points for them.

Oklahoma City Thunder – Statistics & current form

Oklahoma is on the verge of reaching the finals, and one important positive factor is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. The Canadian was named MVP a few days ago, and SGA proved that this choice was entirely justified in the last game.

The guard scored no less than 40 points, setting a new personal best in the playoffs. At the same time, he has now scored 30 or more points in six of his last seven games.

Coach Mark Daigneault will therefore have the 26-year-old to thank if his team makes it to the NBA finals. His versatile play was also evident in the last game, where he narrowly missed a triple-double with nine rebounds and ten assists.

Oklahoma can also shut down its own basket

OKC is also impressive in the playoffs from a defensive perspective. Only three teams have allowed fewer points per game to their opponents in the postseason, and their defensive strength is particularly evident at their home arena, the Target Center.

In only one of their eight home games in this year’s postseason have the hosts conceded more than 106 points! Against this backdrop, the prediction of no more than 106 points for the visitors in Game 5 between Oklahoma City Thunder and Minnesota Timberwolves also looks promising. You can place your bets at NEO.bet, where the bookmaker regularly scores with NEO.bet odds boosts!

Minnesota Timberwolves – Statistics & current form

Minnesota started the series with two defeats, but bounced back impressively in the third game with a 143-101 rout in front of their home crowd. The win boosted the T-Wolves’ previously shaken confidence, but they have since suffered another defeat.

Although it was only a narrow 126-128 defeat, this is of little help to the visitors, of course, and one consequence of the setback is that they now face a particularly challenging “elimination game.” One problem for coach Chris Finch’s visiting team is the lack of consistency from Julius Randle.

The former Knicks player has only scored in single digits and had field goal percentages of less than 20 percent in half of the four games against OKC. Without the points from the normally high-performing forward, the Timberwolves don’t have enough power on offense, and his off days clearly can’t be compensated for.

Alexander-Walker stands up to OKC

At least Nickeil Alexander-Walker is delivering a strong series. In the last three games against OKC, the Canadian has scored at least twelve points and averaged 17.3 points. By comparison, the Toronto pro is averaging 8.9 points in the 2025 playoffs.

His form is therefore on the up, and in the upcoming clash between Oklahoma City Thunder and Minnesota Timberwolves, the betting odds on Alexander-Walker scoring more than 8.5 points are equally worth considering. They are available at Betano, and you can place your bets anytime on the bookmaker’s mobile sports betting app!

Oklahoma City Thunder – Minnesota Timberwolves Head-to-head comparison / H2H record

OKC won the last head-to-head match and leads the series 3-1. However, the home record has been less than impressive for the hosts in recent times.

Sixty percent of the last ten home games against the T-Wolves ended in defeat for the City Thunder. Nevertheless, the Oklahoma City Thunder odds clearly favor the home team in the upcoming matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves.

Oklahoma City Thunder – Minnesota Timberwolves Tip

For the fifth match between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Minnesota Timberwolves, the forecast is for more than 114.5 points by the hosts. OKC will be highly motivated in this game, as a win would secure their place in the final.

With Oklahoma leading 3-1, the pressure is completely on the visitors, while the home team has three “match points” in the series. The home advantage also speaks in favor of Oklahoma against Minnesota.

Only Denver was able to win a road game at the Target Center in the previous round, narrowly winning 121-119, while OKC’s other seven home games in the 2025 NBA playoffs all ended in victories for Oklahoma.

The Daigneault squad was particularly impressive from an offensive perspective, with OKC exceeding the selected points total in seven of the eight playoff games played this season!