Will spectators have to endure a goalless draw?
It’s done. The Villans have secured their first win of the 2025-26 season ahead of our Aston Villa vs. Fulham tip. But how much reason is there to hope for a short-term improvement in future results after the 1-0 win against Bologna?
We are not entirely convinced by the Aston Villa vs. Fulham prediction. Captain John McGinn slammed a long-range shot into the net following a corner. The hosts were once again lackluster in their play, scoring only 0.36 expected goals from open play. Ollie Watkins also missed a penalty. The striker has not scored in seven appearances in the English top flight – the longest drought of his career.
The Aston Villa – Fulham betting odds still favor the home side. If you register with Bet-at-Home, either via the website or the app, you will receive 2.30 times your stake for a home win.
The Cottagers are priced at 3.35 and above for an away win, even though they have had a much better start to the season (8 points from 5 league games). However, there has not been a single away win in seven competitive games for Fulham this season.
Like Unai Emery’s team (1-0 vs. Bologna), Fulham (1-0 vs. Cambridge) picked up a narrow clean sheet victory during the week. The Whites’ defensive structure has been intact for years and has been consistently developed by coach Marco Silva since he took office (July 1, 2021).
Offensively, however, there have been a few below-average performances, with only one team scoring at least one goal in four of Fulham’s last five games. We are continuing this trend in the Aston Villa – Fulham tip and are betting on odds of 1.92 for “Both teams to score – No.” You can currently find this offer in the Merkur Bets app.
Aston Villa – Fulham Head-to-head record
The record of recent years makes the Villans clear favorites. Aston Villa has won seven of the eight previous matches against the Cottagers and has even won three of the last six encounters without conceding a goal.
However, we are skeptical about another victory. Fulham travels to Villa Park with the fourth-best expected defense (4.48 xGA – excluding penalties) and has won four of its last five competitive games. Marco Silva’s team is certainly not lacking in confidence.
Aston Villa – Fulham Tip
After five rounds of matches, the Villans are the only team with just one goal to their name. Considering their expected goals (3.85 xG), this is not really surprising – Emery’s team also occupies last place in this category in the English top flight.
Too often, they lack conviction in the attacking third and the right positioning when finishing. Their patterns for creating scoring chances are not yet working, as can be seen from their weakest ratio of expected goals to shots (0.07).
However, Fulham is by no means a team that storms the opponent’s box with many players. The Cottagers have only taken 50 shots so far (17th) and have even touched the ball less often in the opponent’s box (114) than the home team (119).
Expectations that are too high for the two attacking lines could lead to disappointment. We are taking this starting position and using it to our advantage by betting on “Both teams to score – No.”
