Will Villa continue their strong home run?
Aston Villa are currently in a brilliant third place in the Premier League, just three points behind leaders Arsenal. Manchester United, on the other hand, are level on points with three other teams and sit in sixth place with 26 points. The Villans are currently on an impressive run of nine consecutive home wins and have conceded just seven goals in eleven games in front of their home crowd.
What is striking is the Emery XI’s scoring streak – in their last nine home games, they have scored eight times in the first half. Our Aston Villa vs. Manchester United tip is therefore for another Villans goal in the first half.
Aston Villa are currently in impressive form. The team has won their last six Premier League games and is unbeaten in nine games across all competitions. They are particularly strong at home at Villa Park: nine consecutive home wins in all competitions and only one home defeat in the league all year underline the enormous stability under Unai Emery.
With 40 home points in the current calendar year, only Manchester City has collected more points in the league. If Aston Villa remains unbeaten against Manchester United, it would be their best home record in the top flight since 1983. Despite their historically poor home record against United, the Villans’ current form clearly speaks in their favor.
Manchester United travel with decent, if not flawless, away form. The Red Devils have won their last two away games in the Premier League and could celebrate three away wins in a row for the first time since February 2024. Their offensive consistency on the road is striking, as United have scored at least two goals in each of their last five away games.
At the same time, their vulnerability when in the lead remains an issue, as they have already dropped ten points after taking the lead. Bruno Fernandes continues to be a key player, providing at least one assist in five consecutive away league games and recently scoring regularly himself. Historically, Manchester United have a clear advantage in head-to-head comparisons, but their current form suggests a difficult task in Birmingham.
Aston Villa – Manchester United Head-to-head record / H2H record
Aston Villa and Manchester United have played each other 182 times in competitive matches. The majority of these encounters have been in the Premier League, supplemented by matches in the FA Cup and League Cup. The statistics clearly favor Manchester United: the Red Devils have won 97 games, while Aston Villa have won 44; 41 encounters ended in a draw. This dominance is also reflected in the goal difference, with Manchester United scoring 334 goals to the Villans’ 230.
Aston Villa – Manchester United Tip
Although the betting odds from the best bookmakers favor Aston Villa against Manchester United, which is entirely justified given their home strength, the historical comparison clearly favors the Red Devils. The Villans have won their last nine home games in a row and have scored at least one goal in each of their first two home games – in eight of the nine games in the first half.
The record champions, on the other hand, have a strong record at Villa Park – in their last 26 away games in Birmingham, United have remained unbeaten 25 times and lost only one game. The Red Devils are currently very accurate away from home, scoring at least twice in their last five away games and remaining unbeaten. So there should be no shortage of goals in this game.
