Will the Rossoneri shake off their latest setback?
Everything looked set for a comfortable defense of their lead at the top of the table when Rafael Leao put AC Milan 1-0 up against newly promoted Pisa in the seventh minute. In the end, however, it was thanks to a last-minute equalizer in the third minute of stoppage time that the Rossoneri salvaged at least a point (final score: 2-2). The draw against the underdogs means that first place is now a thing of the past. If Atalanta Bergamo beat AC Milan at home, Il Diavolo could theoretically slip out of the top four, which would probably put an end to their recent upswing.
The recent results do little to encourage the Rossoneri. “La Dea” already took all six points against AC Milan in 2024/25 and is now unbeaten in five competitive games against its Lombardy neighbors (four wins, one draw). It could be a costly mistake to rule out a possible home win for Atalanta Bergamo, especially as the Orobici are unbeaten in seven competitive games (two wins, five draws) and are the only club in Serie A without a single defeat after eight matchdays (two wins, six draws).
In addition to a high tendency for draws, there is also a good chance that both teams will score in this match, which is our main recommendation for this Lombardy derby. Alternatively, you can bet on over 2.5 goals in Atalanta Bergamo vs. AC Milan at odds of 1.87, which we found in the Betano app.
Atalanta Bergamo – AC Milan Head-to-head record / H2H balance
Head to head: 31 – 48 – 69
The Lombardy derby between the two clubs has been played 148 times in total, with AC Milan clearly ahead with 69 wins. Recently, however, the Nerazzurri have had the upper hand in the derby, not only taking all six points against the Rossoneri in 2024/25, but also failing to lose any of their last five competitive games against Il Diavolo (four wins, one draw). Milan celebrated their last away win in Bergamo on October 3, 2021.
Atalanta Bergamo – AC Milan Tip
Although our prediction for Atalanta Bergamo vs. AC Milan leans toward the Rossoneri, who are in good form, However, the 19-time national champions lost their lead at the top of the table at the weekend with a sobering 2-2 draw against Pisa and are now visiting the only Serie A team that has not lost a single league game in 2025/26, although the Nerazzurri have only managed two wins and six draws so far. Not only is the tendency to draw very pronounced, but we would also not categorically rule out a home win for the Orobici, which is why the three-way system is not recommended.
However, we believe it is very reasonable to bet on both teams scoring, especially since both teams have scored an average of at least 1.5 goals per Serie A matchday in 2025/26 and there have been goals on both sides in four of the last five matches between the two clubs.
