Can Getafe upset another top favorite?
On Matchday 28 of Spain’s top flight, Atlético Madrid will face off against Getafe CF. The winner of this match seems all but decided, as while the home side has virtually secured a spot in the Champions League, the visitors find themselves stuck in the middle of the La Liga table. For this reason, the Atlético Madrid vs. Getafe odds clearly favor a home win. For Diego Simeone’s team, however, that sounds better than it actually is, as the home side has no chance of winning the league this season. After all, they trail FC Barcelona by 13 points.
In our Atletico Madrid vs. Getafe prediction, however, the focus isn’t on the championship, but solely on this one match. For this reason, we’ll now take a closer look at both teams, starting with their home and away records. The dynamic remains unchanged, though, as Diego Simeone’s team is virtually unbeatable at home.
Things have gone just as well for the Spanish side in the Champions League, as the Red-Whites have won four out of five matches there as well. FCG can’t even begin to keep up. Jose Bordales’s team has picked up just 17 points on the road and was even knocked out of the Copa del Rey by second-division side FC Burgos.
There is still reason for hope for the visiting fans, however, as Jose Bordales’s team is in extremely good form with four wins from their last five matches. With victories over Villarreal, Real Betis, and Real Madrid, they’ve even managed to defeat three major teams. To be honest, though, that had more to do with luck than skill, as FCG was clearly outplayed in all those matches.
Furthermore, Diego Simeone’s team is in even better form, having won six of their last seven competitive matches. For our Atletico Madrid vs. Getafe prediction, the visiting team’s good form therefore plays only a minor role.
Atletico Madrid – Getafe Head-to-Head Record
The Colchoneros have won 30 of 44 matches and have only left the field as losers five times. And even in the recent past, FCG has generally stood no chance.
Six points from the last 24 matches speak for themselves. Considering all the facts mentioned, we are therefore somewhat surprised that the odds for an Atletico Madrid vs. Getafe home win are at 1.60. Given this clear superiority, we would have expected maximum odds of 1.50.
Atletico Madrid – Getafe Tip
We’ve opted for a home win in our Atletico Madrid vs. Getafe betting tip, as the visiting team’s only real hope of earning a point right now is their strong form. Diego Simeone’s team, however, is in even better form and also has home-field advantage on their side. When we factor in individual quality as well, the visitors have virtually no realistic chance.
Last but not least, FCG has generally fared poorly in head-to-head matchups, so in our assessment, their chances of winning are virtually zero. That should suffice as an explanation for our decision.
Alternatively, you can also add the Atletico Madrid vs. Getafe odds for “both teams to score – no” to your betting slip. There are several reasons for this, as you’ll now see. For one thing, the home team is very solid defensively and has conceded only twelve goals in 14 league home games. For another, the visitors have scored only eleven goals in their 13 away games. When we also consider that FCG failed to score in four of their last five head-to-head matches, we simply can’t pass up this bet.
