Will Igor Tudor soon be out of a job again?
Is the Champions League a welcome distraction for the English representatives, or will the visitors suffer another setback in the Atletico Madrid vs. Tottenham tip? So far, reigning Europa League winners Tottenham have had a comfortable Champions League season, finishing the group stage in fourth place with 17 points from eight games.
The Rojiblancos have felt a little more tension in this CL season. A defeat on the last matchday of the league phase against Bodö/Glimt (1-2) forced the Colchoneros into the intermediate round. There, the Spanish representatives struggled against Club Brugge (3-3, 4-1). Nevertheless, we clearly favor the home side in our Atletico Madrid vs. Tottenham prediction.
The Lilywhites had no game last weekend after already playing their Premier League match against Crystal Palace (1-3) during the week. This additional preparation time has not improved the starting position for Igor Tudor and his team in the Atletico Madrid vs. Tottenham odds comparison.
The desired stabilization at Spurs has not materialized since the appointment of Igor Tudor. Instead, the Lilywhites have conceded three or more goals in two of three games under the Croatian’s leadership. As guests at the Civitas Metropolitano, the crisis-stricken club from London faces the threat of another flood of goals.
The home side bring enormous quality to the pitch in attack. Diego Simeone’s team have scored 24 goals in this Champions League season – the third-highest of all participants – and seven of those in the two intermediate round matches alone. Based on this, we are betting on Atletico Madrid against Tottenham with odds of 2.37 at bet365 for “Atletico Madrid win (HC -1)”.
Atletico Madrid vs. Tottenham Prediction AI
Except for Arsenal (4 goals conceded), no Champions League participant this season has defended their own goal more successfully than Spurs (7 goals conceded). It is also true that the Lilywhites have only scored 14 expected goals – 20th place among all Champions League participants. With these figures in mind, our artificial intelligence is predicting “Both teams to score – No” and sees clear value in the Atletico Madrid vs. Tottenham AI prediction.
Atletico Madrid – Statistics & current form
When the lights come on at the Civitas Metropolitano during the week and the Champions League anthem echoes through the arena, a special atmosphere is created. Many clubs have already experienced what the Rojiblancos are capable of under these conditions.
Atleti have won three of their four Champions League home games this season. Frankfurt were sent back to Germany with a 5-1 defeat, Union Saint-Gilloise were beaten 3-1, and Inter Milan were outplayed in good form (2-1). The only blemish was the defeat against Bodö/Glimt (1-2).
If the hosts were in danger of losing in this CL season, it was because of their defense. The Colchoneros have lost only one of their last seven games in the Champions League. At home, Simeone’s team has won four CL knockout games in a row.
Different ways to score goals
Different types of players give the Rojiblancos different ways to score goals. Alexander Sörloth brings his 1.95-meter height and aerial dominance to the table, while Julian Alvarez brings his delicate touch on the pitch. Both have scored five Champions League goals this season and are responsible for 41.6 percent of Atletico’s goals in Europe’s premier club competition.
The Spanish representatives pose just as much of a threat from open play as they do from set pieces. Corners in particular are a big plus. Atlético Madrid have scored nine goals from set pieces in this Champions League season (2nd) – seven of which came from corner variations (1st).
The large number of shots (152 – the sixth highest) certainly helped them to earn the second most corners in the current competition (63). The Colchoneros regularly create great scoring opportunities from these and score a goal after every ninth corner (3rd).
Tottenham – Statistics & current form
Igor Tudor is considered an expert at taking over teams in the middle of a season. His reputation for fixing teams in a very short time and achieving the desired results probably also enabled the Croatian to get the job in London. However, the 47-year-old is currently reaching his limits there.
The first three competitive games of his career as a coach in the Premier League have been rather unfortunate. A 4-1 defeat to Arsenal was followed by losses to Fulham (2-1) and Crystal Palace (3-1). The visitors are now just one point above the relegation zone in the English top flight.
His trademark—stabilizing defensive play—is nowhere to be seen. Three competitive games, three defeats, and nine goals conceded have further exacerbated the chaos in London. However, it would be wrong to hold him solely responsible for this.
A gradual decline
The Lilywhites last finished in the top four of the English top flight at the end of the 2021/2022 Premier League season. Spurs finished the following campaigns in eighth, fifth, and 17th place. The reigning Europa League champions are currently in 16th place and fighting to avoid relegation.
There are glaring gaps between the lines, parts of the team, and players this season. Including the three Tudor pairings, the Lilywhites have finished nine consecutive games conceding two or more goals.
The visitors’ fans have been waiting for a win since December, although lately there has been little talk of waiting.
Against Crystal Palace (1-3), many spectators left Tottenham Hotspur Stadium at halftime. Those who stayed and those who returned sent a few whistles in the direction of the team and officials after the final whistle. Without unity, there is little to be gained in Madrid.
Atletico Madrid – Tottenham Head-to-head record / H2H record
English clubs are extremely reluctant to see the Rojiblancos in their schedule. Atletico Madrid have won only one of their previous ten Champions League games against a club from the island (2D, 7L). In March 2022, Diego Simeone’s team won 1-0 against Manchester United. The only previous meeting between Atletico and Tottenham took place in 1963 and ended in a 5-1 victory for the Lilywhites.
Atletico Madrid – Tottenham Tip
From the outset, Spurs will have to contend with an energetic Madrid side. Diego Simeone likes to give his team a game plan that turns the opening minutes of a Champions League match into a full-throttle, high-intensity affair.
With the exception of Newcastle (15), no Champions League participant has scored more goals in the first quarter of an hour this season than the Colchoneros (12). Tottenham, on the other hand, have only managed half that number of goals in the opening quarter of an hour so far.
If the home side get off to another flying start, Spurs could be facing another heavy defeat and Igor Tudor could be under serious pressure after only four competitive games. Based on the Lilywhites’ recent performances, we don’t see any major threat to the Colchoneros.
