Will FCB take apart the Belgian champions?

Vincent Kompany would certainly like to play himself in the upcoming match against Brussels. As a long-time player and coach of Anderlecht, the players from Duden Park are his arch-enemies. He will certainly not lack motivation on the FCB bench, and we give you the following tip for the match between Bayern and Union St. Gilloise!

Kompany’s team, which is in great form, is of course the clear favorite going into the clash with the Jupiler League representative. The home side has only been defeated by Arsenal in the current Champions League and, after six matchdays, is in second place with five wins.

Their ticket to stay in the competition is therefore already half secured, while the visitors, currently in 27th place, would not even qualify for the intermediate round. However, they will be confident that they perform better away than at home.

Their only two wins during the league phase came away from home at PSV Eindhoven and, even more impressively, against Galatasaray on the Bosporus. Against this backdrop, we believe the underdogs are capable of scoring at least one goal and are predicting that both teams will score and there will be more than three goals in the match between Bayern and Union St. Gilloise.

Bayern vs. Union St. Gilloise Prediction AI

After calculating the match at the Allianz Arena, AI decides on an Asian handicap bet. Artificial intelligence estimates the difference in expected goals for the two teams at 2.58 goals in favor of the hosts.

Based on this calculation, AI selects the AI prediction for an away win for the Belgians in the match between Bayern and Union St. Gilloise, including a three-goal lead in the Asian variant.

Bayern – Statistics & current form

It’s better not to travel to FC Bayern in the Champions League: the Bavarians have not lost in 37 home games in the group and league phases and have not won more than two of these games! Their last home defeat of this kind dates back to December 2013, when Manchester won 3-2.

Furthermore, the hosts have the most shots on goal (49) and big chances (12) in the current edition of the Champions League. Their expected goals value of 15.1 is also the best of any team in the competition. However, Harry Kane currently has room for improvement in the Champions League.

The Brit has been waiting for a goal and an assist for three games. For the normally very reliable goal scorer, this is an unusually long dry spell, which he has only experienced once before in 2022 while playing for Tottenham.

Youngster Karl feels just as comfortable in the Champions League

In contrast, youngster Lennart Karl is performing very successfully in the Champions League, just as he does in the Bundesliga. He has scored in three appearances, making him the youngest player in the history of the competition to achieve this! Only three teenagers have previously scored in four consecutive games – Kylian Mbappé (2017), Erling Haaland (2019), and Jude Bellingham (2022).

Michael Olise is also delivering top performances in the Champions League. Only Kylian Mbappé (20) has created more scoring chances than the Frenchman (17) this season. In addition, only Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (4) has provided more assists than Olise (3).

Bayern doesn’t need much time to get going

What’s more, Bayern have been particularly prolific in the first halves of games this season. The FCB have scored twice as many goals in the first half (12) as they have in the second. No other club in this year’s top flight has scored more goals in the first half!

Union St. Gilloise – Statistics & current form

For the Blue and Yellows, just participating in the Champions League is a huge success. Never before have the Belgians played at this highest level of European soccer.

The Brussels-based club secured their place by winning last year’s championship, their first title in the Belgian top flight in no less than 90 years!

The club’s meteoric rise has thus reached its peak for the time being. On the other hand, it is unlikely that another nine decades will pass before the next Jupiler League championship can be celebrated.

Union are currently back at the top of the league table, and the visitors have earned another successful season thanks in part to a reliable offense. No other team in the league has scored more goals than the Blue and Yellows. They also have the fewest goals conceded in the Jupiler League.

More than two goals for Royale St. Gilloise?

However, they do not display the latter quality in the premier class: only four teams in the 36-team Champions League concede more goals than the Belgians. As they now face the third-best offense in the competition, which has been unstoppable in the Bundesliga since the turn of the year with 16 goals in three games, the betting odds for more than three goals by the home team are equally worth considering in the match between Bayern and Union Saint-Gilloise.

Union show two sides to their game: while the visitors have conceded only two goals in ten home league games, they have conceded significantly more away from home, with ten in eleven games.

David to lead Union St. Gilloise’s attack
The Belgians are relying on Promise David in their own attack. The Canadian has already scored twice in the Champions League and has also been in good form recently: He has scored in four of the last five games and scored the majority (4) of Brussels’ seven goals in this review!

In light of this enormous efficiency, the odds on his next goal are also attractive in the clash between Bayern and Union Saint-Gilloise. You can bet on them at bet365, and the bookmaker from the UK has a German betting license.

Bayern – Union St. Gilloise Head-to-head record

This is the first meeting between Bayern and Union Saint-Gilloise. The hosts have won eight of their nine home games against Belgian teams in all European competitions (8-0-1) – including a 4-0 win over Bruges this season.

Union Saint-Gilloise, for their part, are unbeaten in all four away games against German teams in European competitions (2-2-0)! The Brussels side’s most recent victory was a 2-1 win over Eintracht Frankfurt in the Conference League in the 2023/24 season.

Bayern’s debut in the Champions League

The Brussels team is also the 72nd different opponent Munich has faced in the Champions League – only Real Madrid tops this number (73). Moreover, FCB has won ten of its last eleven encounters with a new opponent, suffering only a 0-1 defeat at Aston Villa last season.

From a statistical point of view, it is hardly surprising that the odds for the match between Bayern and Union St. Gilloise are very clearly in favor of the hosts.

Bayern – Union St. Gilloise Tip

In this year’s Champions League home rankings, the visitors from Belgium are in last place. This may be due to the fact that they have to play their home games in the “living room” of their city rivals Anderlecht’s Lotto Park due to the dilapidated state of their own stadium.

However, the visitors are a force to be reckoned with away from home. All six of their points so far have been earned in three away games, and five of their seven goals have been scored in these encounters. In view of this, the tip for the match between Bayern and Union St. Gilloise is that both sides will score and there will be more than three goals.

The Belgians’ strength away from home does little to change the home side’s status as favorites, but we believe they are capable of scoring a goal. This prediction is supported by Munich’s recent defensive vulnerability, at least in front of their own fans.

The German record champions have failed to keep a clean sheet in five home games at national and international level! At the same time, the home side’s offense continues to perform strongly on their own turf, which is why the prediction made for the match between Bayern and Union St. Gilloise would have been successful in this review!