Will AC Milan stay on top?
On paper, the winner of this match seems to be a foregone conclusion, as the visitors are fighting for the championship while the home side are wandering aimlessly around mid-table in Italy’s top flight. This is, of course, one of the main reasons why the odds for a Bologna vs. AC Milan tip favor a win for the away team.
The maximum odds for an away win are currently 2.20. These can be found in the Bet-at-home app. However, we do not want to make a recommendation at this point, because in soccer, it is not only the table that decides victory or defeat.
For this reason, we will now take a closer look at the two teams in our Bologna vs. AC Milan prediction, starting with their home and away records. However, there is no obvious home advantage here, as the hosts are not particularly strong at home, with only 14 points from ten home games.
In fact, Vincenzo Italiano’s team has actually collected more points away than at home. The same is true for Milan in principle, but with 23 points from eleven away games, we are on a completely different level here. In addition, the visiting team has not lost a single game on the road – six wins and five draws.
But it gets even worse for the home side, because apart from their mediocre position in the table, their mixed home record and their individual inferiority, their form also speaks against a home win. Vincenzo Italiano’s team has won only two of its last twelve competitive games, and those were against Hellas Verona and Maccabi Tel Aviv.
By comparison, the visitors have lost only two games in the same period, remaining unbeaten in ten games. So, in the first three paragraphs of our analysis, there is a lot to be said for the Bologna vs. AC Milan odds on the away team winning a point.
Bologna – AC Milan Head-to-head record / H2H record
However, one point could significantly help us in our decision-making, and that is the H2H comparison. The Rossoneri have won 75 of the 156 matches between the two sides, winning almost 50% of all games. In addition, there have been 41 draws, meaning that the visitors have remained unbeaten in almost 75% of games.
Recent results also underscore this statistic, as with only two wins in their last ten encounters, the Rossoblu have failed to secure three points in 80% of cases. In light of this, we are somewhat surprised that the Bologna vs. AC Milan betting odds do not clearly favor a win for the away team.
Bologna – AC Milan Tip
So let’s summarize: Massimiliano Allegri’s team has better individual players, is in better form, and also has the edge in head-to-head comparisons. In addition, the visitors have earned more points away from home than FCB has at home.
Of the four important factors, all of them favor the visiting team. Accordingly, we cannot ignore the Bologna vs. AC Milan betting tip for an away win. However, in order to minimize risk, we have decided on the tip “Milan wins one half.”
Alternatively, you can also add the Bologna vs. AC Milan odds for the visiting team to win a point in combination with under 3.5 goals to your betting slip. We have already explained in detail why we consider a home win to be unrealistic. Now we will explain why we expect a low-scoring game.
The explanation is brief, because with only 17 goals conceded in 22 league games, AC Milan has the second-best defense in Serie A. Vincenzo Italiano’s team will therefore not have many scoring opportunities. At the same time, however, the visitors rarely manage to deliver a spectacular offensive performance and score an average of only 1.59 goals. The 3.5 mark should therefore hold.
